Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

PATH analysis

UiPath, Inc.Software - Infrastructure. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

AIRobotics & Automation
PATH
UiPath, Inc. · Software - Infrastructure
FCF$375mC
Rev+15.2%B+
D/E0.04A-
P/E27.3xB
PEG0.56A-
72.9Score
$16.39$8.5B
1Y Target$13.44Analyst consensus · 16 analysts
5Y Target$16.96Compound horizon
10Y Target$21.75Long-dated conviction
FCF$375mTTM
C
FCF $375m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+15.2%TTM YoY
B+
Revenue +15.2% — above sector median, healthy trajectory
D/E0.04
A-
D/E 0.04 — less debt than most Technology peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E27.3x
B
P/E 27.3 — near the Technology median (≈60th pctile)
PEG0.56
A-
PEG 0.56 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 72.9
Quality66.0
Growth89.7
Value65.3
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
17% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value13% aboveest. fair value ~$15
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~13% a year for the next decade — vs the ~16% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability48% · A-gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC4.2% · C+return on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
The bull case hinges on UiPath’s Maestro process orchestration gaining traction in large enterprises, unlocking deeper automation spend. The platform’s $375m free‑cash‑flow, a 19.6% profit margin, and 15.2% YoY revenue growth prove the business can fund rapid expansion while returning cash, and our model’s strongest pillar – Growth (95) – confirms the compounding engine. The thesis rests on continued adoption of AI‑augmented RPA that will keep cash generation accelerating well beyond the 9% FCF growth baked into today’s price.
Moat
UiPath’s moat lives in its integrated automation stack – from Maestro orchestration to intelligent extraction – which locks customers into a single workflow fabric and creates high switching costs for enterprises that have built hundreds of bots. The 17.2% ROE reflects pricing power derived from being the de‑facto platform for RPA in the U.S., U.K., and key European markets, a position competitors can’t replicate quickly without rebuilding a comparable ecosystem.
Risk
The bear case centers on the modest valuation premium: a forward P/E of 23.5 is high for a 19.6% margin business, and the Bull Rankings model flags Quality as the weakest pillar (66), indicating execution risk if product rollout stalls. A slowdown in revenue growth below the current 15.2% YoY rate would force the stock to re‑price to the consensus 1‑yr target of $13.25, confirming the downside.
Horizon
1-3 yr $13.44 (16-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $16.96 at ~1% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $21.75 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

PATH vs the Top Picks average

PillarPATHBook avgDiff
Quality0.660.84-0.18
Growth0.900.84+0.06
Value0.650.78-0.13

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-4.3 over 47 daily scores
From 77.2 (Jun 22) → 72.9 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-0.1%
90-day change-0.1%
Forward EPS estimate$0.91

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect PATH to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
122
Position size
$2,000
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$12.29
25% below $16.39
$ at risk if stopped
$499.90
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

UiPath, Inc. (PATH): score, valuation & FAQ

UiPath, Inc. (PATH) is a Software - Infrastructure company that scores 72.9 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A-), PEG (A-) and Rev (B+). On valuation, PATH sits about 13% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 13% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is PATH a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores PATH 72.9 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by D/E (A-), PEG (A-) and Rev (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of UiPath, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does PATH score 72.9 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). PATH earns its highest marks on D/E (A-), PEG (A-) and Rev (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is PATH overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $16.39, PATH sits about 13% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 13% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 27.3x P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in PATH?

The bear case centers on the modest valuation premium: a forward P/E of 23.5 is high for a 19.6% margin business, and the Bull Rankings model flags Quality as the weakest pillar (66), indicating execution risk if product rollout stalls. A slowdown in revenue growth below the current 15.2% YoY rate would force the stock to re‑price to the consensus 1‑yr target of $13.25, confirming the downside.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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