Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

ORCL analysis

Oracle CorporationSoftware - Infrastructure. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

ORCL
Oracle Corporation · Software - Infrastructure
FCF-$23.7bF
Rev+17.4%B+
D/E3.89D
P/S5.5xB
PEG0.79A-
70.6Score
$127.94$368.5B
1Y Target$251.85Analyst consensus · 40 analysts
5Y Target$440.49Compound horizon
10Y Target$1,117Long-dated conviction
FCF-$23.7bTTM
F
FCF is negative (-$23.7b) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names
Rev+17.4%TTM YoY
B+
Revenue +17.4% — above sector median, healthy trajectory
D/E3.89
D
D/E 3.89 — most levered decile in Technology (≈95th pctile)
P/S5.5x
B
P/S 5.5x — near the Technology median (≈60th pctile)
PEG0.79
A-
PEG 0.79 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 70.6
Quality0.66
Growth0.92
Value0.58
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
  • Durable high returns
  • Diluting shareholders
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
63% off the 12-month high
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability25% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC38.3% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Software - Infrastructure · market cap $368.5b. Down 63% from 52-week high of $345.72 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +17%, comfortably above the S&P median. PEG 0.79 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 40 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $251.85 (implying +97% upside).
Moat
Net margin 25% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 40% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. $368.5b market cap places it among the largest companies in the sector — distribution, R&D, and customer-acquisition costs amortize across a base peers can't replicate.
Risk
D/E 3.89 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Free cash flow is negative (-$23.7b) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Down 63% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $251.85 (40-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $440.49 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $1,117 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Trend
+11.6 over 19 daily scores
From 59.0 (Jun 22) → 70.6 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
15
Position size
$1,919
3.8% of portfolio
Stop price
$95.95
25% below $127.94
$ at risk if stopped
$479.77
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Oracle Corporation (ORCL): score, valuation & FAQ

Oracle Corporation (ORCL) is a Software - Infrastructure company that scores 70.6 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are PEG (A-) and Rev (B+), while D/E (D) and FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is ORCL a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores ORCL 70.6 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by PEG (A-) and Rev (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Oracle Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does ORCL score 70.6 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). ORCL earns its highest marks on PEG (A-) and Rev (B+), and is held back by D/E (D) and FCF (F). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is ORCL overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for ORCL — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in ORCL?

D/E 3.89 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Free cash flow is negative (-$23.7b) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Down 63% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

More Technology stocks by score

All Technology rankings →

Analyze another ticker →