Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

ORCL analysis

Oracle CorporationSoftware - Infrastructure. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

AICloud & SaaS
ORCL
Oracle Corporation · Software - Infrastructure
FCF-$23.7bF
Rev+17.4%B+
D/E3.89D
P/S6.5xC+
PEG0.82B+
69.6Score
$150.85$434.5B
1Y Target$244.12Analyst consensus · 42 analysts
5Y Target$426.96Compound horizon
10Y Target$763.07Long-dated conviction
FCF-$23.7bTTM
F
FCF is negative (-$23.7b) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names
Rev+17.4%TTM YoY
B+
Revenue +17.4% — above sector median, healthy trajectory
D/E3.89
D
D/E 3.89 — most levered decile in Technology (≈95th pctile)
P/S6.5x
C+
P/S 6.5x — above the Technology median (≈75th pctile)
PEG0.82
B+
PEG 0.82 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 69.6
Quality65.9
Growth88.9
Value57.5
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
  • Durable high returns
  • Diluting shareholders
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
56% off the 12-month high
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability25% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC38.3% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Oracle’s relentless expansion of its Fusion Cloud ERP suite is the engine that will keep compounding earnings, as evidenced by 17.4% YoY revenue growth, a 25.4% profit margin and a PEG of 0.85 that signals cheap growth; our Bull Rankings model gives the stock a 69.4/100 quality‑growth score with Growth as the strongest pillar, underscoring that the business’s high‑margin SaaS tailwinds are real and durable. The thesis rests on the ability of Fusion Cloud to lock in multi‑year contracts that keep the revenue curve steep.
Moat
Oracle’s integrated Fusion Cloud stack creates massive switching costs for large enterprises that bundle ERP, HCM, SCM and EPM on a single platform, delivering a pricing power that fuels a 40.2% ROE – the highest in the sector – and a predictable, recurring‑revenue moat that competitors can’t replicate quickly without massive re‑engineering.
Risk
The stock is vulnerable to a balance‑sheet strain and market volatility: a debt‑to‑equity of 3.89 and a beta of 1.72 amplify downside risk, while a negative free cash flow of -$23.7B and a P/E of 25.8 suggest the market may be pricing in a slowdown; a breach of the 52‑week low at $114.5 would confirm the bear case and force a re‑rating.
Horizon
1-3 yr $244.12 (42-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $426.96 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $763.07 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

ORCL vs the Top Picks average

PillarORCLBook avgDiff
Quality0.660.83-0.17
Growth0.890.87+0.02
Value0.580.76-0.19

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.6). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+10.6 over 52 daily scores
From 59.0 (Jun 22) → 69.6 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

ORCL at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD69.6/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY65.9GROWTH88.9VALUE57.5
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100ORCL 69.6Top 9% of 1,827 scored names.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$151$115 LOWHIGH $346Trading at the 16th percentile of its 52-week range ($115–$346).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock-33%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Every figure here comes from the same audited fundamentals behind the score. Charts drawn from data the score does not use say so on the card.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.3%
90-day change+0.7%
Forward EPS estimate$10.93

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect ORCL to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A fiscal-year roll fell inside this window: the forward horizon moved on to the next financial year, which shifts the earnings figure without any analyst changing their view. That step is excluded, so the number above covers the rest of the window rather than all of it.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
13
Position size
$1,961
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$113.14
25% below $150.85
$ at risk if stopped
$490.26
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Oracle Corporation (ORCL): score, valuation & FAQ

Oracle Corporation (ORCL) is a Software - Infrastructure company that scores 69.6 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (B+) and PEG (B+), while D/E (D) and FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is ORCL a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores ORCL 69.6 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (B+) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Oracle Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does ORCL score 69.6 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on growth at 88.9 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 57.5 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. ORCL earns its highest marks on Rev (B+) and PEG (B+), and is held back by D/E (D) and FCF (F). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so ORCL is measured against Software - Infrastructure peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is ORCL overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for ORCL — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in ORCL?

The stock is vulnerable to a balance‑sheet strain and market volatility: a debt‑to‑equity of 3.89 and a beta of 1.72 amplify downside risk, while a negative free cash flow of -$23.7B and a P/E of 25.8 suggest the market may be pricing in a slowdown; a breach of the 52‑week low at $114.5 would confirm the bear case and force a re‑rating.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

More Software stocks by score

All Technology rankings →

Analyze another ticker →