Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

OLED analysis

Universal Display CorporationElectronic Components. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

OLED
Universal Display Corporation · Electronic Components
FCF$220mC
Rev-8.3%D
D/E0.01A
P/E20.7xB+
PEG1.00B+
63.4Score
$85.75$3.9B
1Y Target$115.37Analyst consensus · 9 analysts
5Y Target$168.92Compound horizon
10Y Target$250.58Long-dated conviction
FCF$220mTTM
C
FCF $220m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev-8.3%TTM YoY
D
Revenue -8.3% — meaningful contraction
D/E0.01
A
D/E 0.01 — least levered decile in Technology (≈10th pctile)
P/E20.7x
B+
P/E 20.7 — below the Technology median (≈40th pctile)
PEG1.00
B+
PEG 1.00 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 63.4
Quality81.7
Growth41.0
Value76.2
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
44% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value40% aboveest. fair value ~$61
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~18% a year for the next decade — vs the ~14% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability24% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC9.7% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Electronic Components · market cap $3.9b. Down 44% from 52-week high of $153.38 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue -8% — in contraction; any catalyst that reverses this triggers re-rating. 9 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $115.37 (implying +35% upside).
Moat
Net margin 32% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 12% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. FCF converts 112% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Revenue contracting -8% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Down 44% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.56 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Horizon
1-3 yr $115.37 (9-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $168.92 at ~15% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $250.58 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

OLED vs the Top Picks average

PillarOLEDBook avgDiff
Quality0.820.84-0.02
Growth0.410.87-0.46
Value0.760.76in line

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-2.9 over 46 daily scores
From 66.3 (Jun 22) → 63.4 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-3.3%
90-day change-4.5%
Forward EPS estimate$4.76

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect OLED to earn is drifting lower (-4.5%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
23
Position size
$1,972
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$64.31
25% below $85.75
$ at risk if stopped
$493.06
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Universal Display Corporation (OLED): score, valuation & FAQ

Universal Display Corporation (OLED) is a Electronic Components company that scores 63.4 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A), P/E (B+) and PEG (B+), while Rev (D) rate weaker. On valuation, OLED sits about 40% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 18% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is OLED a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores OLED 63.4 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by D/E (A), P/E (B+) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Universal Display Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does OLED score 63.4 on Bull Rankings?

The score is carried by quality at 81.7 out of 100, and held back by growth at 41.0 — the three pillars combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. OLED earns its highest marks on D/E (A), P/E (B+) and PEG (B+), and is held back by Rev (D). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so OLED is measured against Electronic Components peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is OLED overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $85.75, OLED sits about 40% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 18% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 20.7x P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in OLED?

Revenue contracting -8% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Down 44% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.56 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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