Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

JBL analysis

Jabil Inc.Electronic Components. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

JBL
Jabil Inc. · Electronic Components
FCF$1.3bC+
Rev+17.8%B+
D/E2.97D
P/E41.0xB
PEG0.82B+
65.5Score
$319.18$33.4B
1Y Target$441.44Analyst consensus · 9 analysts
5Y Target$646.32Compound horizon
10Y Target$958.77Long-dated conviction
FCF$1.3bTTM
C+
FCF $1.3b — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+17.8%TTM YoY
B+
Revenue +17.8% — above sector median, healthy trajectory
D/E2.97
D
D/E 2.97 — most levered decile in Technology (≈95th pctile)
P/E41.0x
B
P/E 41.0 — near the Technology median (≈60th pctile)
PEG0.82
B+
PEG 0.82 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 65.5
Quality0.72
Growth0.72
Value0.55
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
26% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value34% aboveest. fair value ~$239
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~22% a year for the next decade — vs the ~25% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability13% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC24.6% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Electronic Components · market cap $33.4b. Down 26% from 52-week high of $428.93 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +18%, comfortably above the S&P median. PEG 0.82 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 9 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $441.44 (implying +38% upside).
Moat
ROE 65% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 152% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
D/E 2.97 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Trailing P/E 41x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates. Net margin 2.6% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Horizon
1-3 yr $441.44 (9-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $646.32 at ~15% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $958.77 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Trend
+15.0 over 20 daily scores
From 50.5 (Jun 22) → 65.5 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
6
Position size
$1,915
3.8% of portfolio
Stop price
$239.38
25% below $319.18
$ at risk if stopped
$478.77
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Jabil Inc. (JBL): score, valuation & FAQ

Jabil Inc. (JBL) is a Electronic Components company that scores 65.5 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (B+) and PEG (B+), while D/E (D) rate weaker. On valuation, JBL sits about 34% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 22% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is JBL a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores JBL 65.5 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (B+) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Jabil Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does JBL score 65.5 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). JBL earns its highest marks on Rev (B+) and PEG (B+), and is held back by D/E (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is JBL overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $319.18, JBL sits about 34% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 22% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 41.0x× P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in JBL?

D/E 2.97 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Trailing P/E 41x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates. Net margin 2.6% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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