Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

APH analysis

Amphenol CorpElectrical Equipment. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

APH
Amphenol Corp · Electrical Equipment
FCF$4.6bB
Rev+54.4%A
D/E1.16C+
P/E43.3xC
PEG0.80A-
68.3Score
$159.85$196.6B
1Y Target$183.83Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$269.14Compound horizon
10Y Target$399.25Long-dated conviction
FCF$4.6bTTM · 03/26
B
FCF $4.6b — solid, comfortably covers operations and capital return · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+54.4%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +54.4% — hypergrowth, top decile · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E1.16total
C+
D/E 1.16 — moderately levered, watch interest coverage · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/E43.3x
C
P/E 43.3 — rich valuation; execution risk material
PEG0.80proxy
A-
PEG 0.80 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 68.3
Quality0.78
Growth0.98
Value0.42
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
10% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value118% aboveest. fair value ~$73
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~36% a year for the next decade — vs the ~25% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Why now
Electrical Equipment · market cap $196.6b. 10% off the 52-week high of $178.52. Revenue growing +54% — in hypergrowth territory. PEG 0.80 — paying under fair value for the growth rate.
Moat
Net margin 17% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 35% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. $196.6b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
Trailing P/E 43x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
Horizon
1-3 yr $183.83 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $269.14 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $399.25 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

APH vs the Top Picks average

PillarAPHBook avgDiff
Quality0.780.82-0.05
Growth0.980.90+0.08
Value0.420.75-0.33

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+2.8 over 31 daily scores
From 61.6 (Jun 22) → 64.4 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
12
Position size
$1,918
3.8% of portfolio
Stop price
$119.89
25% below $159.85
$ at risk if stopped
$479.55
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Amphenol Corp (APH): score, valuation & FAQ

Amphenol Corp (APH) is a Electrical Equipment company that scores 68.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A) and PEG (A-). On valuation, APH sits about 118% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 36% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is APH a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores APH 68.3 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A) and PEG (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Amphenol Corp's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does APH score 68.3 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). APH earns its highest marks on Rev (A) and PEG (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is APH overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $159.85, APH sits about 118% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 36% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 43.3x× P/E (graded C). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in APH?

Trailing P/E 43x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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