Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

MTSI analysis

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.Semiconductors. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

MTSI
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. · Semiconductors
FCF$196mC
Rev+32.6%A
D/E0.29B
P/E130.1xD
PEG2.05C
50.8Score
$317.35$24.2B
1Y Target$403.00Analyst consensus · 14 analysts
5Y Target$590.03Compound horizon
10Y Target$875.27Long-dated conviction
FCF$196mTTM
C
FCF $196m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+32.6%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +32.6% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E0.29
B
D/E 0.29 — near the Technology debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E130.1x
D
P/E 130.1 — most expensive decile in Technology (≈95th pctile)
PEG2.05
C
PEG 2.05 — expensive relative to growth rate

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 50.8
Quality0.61
Growth0.92
Value0.23
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
24% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value705% aboveest. fair value ~$39
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability30% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC7.7% · C+return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Semiconductors · market cap $24.2b. Down 24% from 52-week high of $418.90 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +33% — in hypergrowth territory. 14 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $403.00 (implying +27% upside).
Moat
Net margin 16% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 12% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. FCF converts 111% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Trailing P/E 130.1x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Beta 1.66 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. P/S 22.5x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard.
Horizon
1-3 yr $403.00 (14-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $590.03 at ~13% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $875.27 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Shares to buy
6
Position size
$1,904
3.8% of portfolio
Stop price
$238.01
25% below $317.35
$ at risk if stopped
$476.03
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI): score, valuation & FAQ

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI) is a Semiconductors company that scores 50.8 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), while P/E (D) rate weaker. On valuation, MTSI sits about 705% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich).

Is MTSI a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores MTSI 50.8 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (A). A score is a quantitative screen of MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does MTSI score 50.8 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). MTSI earns its highest marks on Rev (A), and is held back by P/E (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is MTSI overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $317.35, MTSI sits about 705% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich). It trades at a 130.1x× P/E (graded D). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in MTSI?

Trailing P/E 130.1x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Beta 1.66 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. P/S 22.5x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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