Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

MRVL analysis

Marvell Technology, Inc.Semiconductors. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

Semiconductors
MRVL
Marvell Technology, Inc. · Semiconductors
FCF$1.7bC+
Rev+34.1%A
D/E0.29B
P/E81.2xC
PEG1.34B
58.6Score
$237.04$212.8B
1Y Target$259.91Analyst consensus · 40 analysts
5Y Target$380.54Compound horizon
10Y Target$564.51Long-dated conviction
FCF$1.7bTTM
C+
FCF $1.7b — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+34.1%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +34.1% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E0.29
B
D/E 0.29 — near the Technology debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E81.2x
C
P/E 81.2 — expensive vs Technology peers (≈90th pctile)
PEG1.34
B
PEG 1.34 — acceptable premium for growth

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 58.6
Quality55.5
Growth91.7
Value39.5
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
28% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value849% aboveest. fair value ~$25
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding above 60% a year for the next decade — vs the ~25% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability17% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC4.7% · C+return on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Marvell’s unrivaled Ethernet silicon platform for data‑center servers is fueling a revenue surge of 34.1% YoY while delivering a 29% profit margin and generating $1.7 B of free cash flow, giving the Bull Rankings model a Growth pillar score of 92. Coupled with a PEG of 1.34, the business is a high‑quality compounder that can keep compounding as hyperscale cloud spend expands. The entire thesis hinges on sustained demand for its custom ASIC‑based Ethernet adapters and switches.
Moat
Marvell’s system‑on‑chip designs integrate analog, mixed‑signal and DSP functions into single‑chip Ethernet solutions, creating deep switching costs for hyperscale customers that redesign their server architectures around Marvell’s silicon. This IP‑heavy moat translates into an ROE of 13.9%, reflecting pricing power in a market where performance and power efficiency are non‑negotiable.
Risk
The stock trades at an eye‑popping PE of 81.5 and a beta of 2.25, implying the market is pricing in over 60% annual free‑cash‑flow growth for a decade—far above the realistic revenue growth of 34.1%. A slowdown in data‑center capex or a successful competitor’s alternative silicon could force the valuation down, and a breach of the 30% margin threshold would confirm the bear case.
Horizon
1-3 yr $259.91 (40-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $380.54 at ~10% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $564.51 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

MRVL vs the Top Picks average

PillarMRVLBook avgDiff
Quality0.550.84-0.28
Growth0.920.84+0.08
Value0.400.78-0.39

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+4.9 over 47 daily scores
From 53.7 (Jun 22) → 58.6 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.4%
90-day change+2.2%
Forward EPS estimate$6.25

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect MRVL to earn is drifting higher (+2.2%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
8
Position size
$1,896
3.8% of portfolio
Stop price
$177.78
25% below $237.04
$ at risk if stopped
$474.08
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Marvell Technology, Inc. (MRVL): score, valuation & FAQ

Marvell Technology, Inc. (MRVL) is a Semiconductors company that scores 58.6 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A). On valuation, MRVL sits about 849% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free-cash-flow growth above 60% a year for the next decade.

Is MRVL a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores MRVL 58.6 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (A). A score is a quantitative screen of Marvell Technology, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does MRVL score 58.6 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). MRVL earns its highest marks on Rev (A). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is MRVL overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $237.04, MRVL sits about 849% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free-cash-flow growth above 60% a year for the next decade. It trades at a 81.2x P/E (graded C). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in MRVL?

The stock trades at an eye‑popping PE of 81.5 and a beta of 2.25, implying the market is pricing in over 60% annual free‑cash‑flow growth for a decade—far above the realistic revenue growth of 34.1%. A slowdown in data‑center capex or a successful competitor’s alternative silicon could force the valuation down, and a breach of the 30% margin threshold would confirm the bear case.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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