Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

LUNR analysis

Intuitive Machines, Inc.Aerospace & Defense. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

Space
LUNR
Intuitive Machines, Inc. · Aerospace & Defense
FCF-$134mF
Rev+51.0%A
D/E0.62B
P/S6.0xC
PEG
26.5Score
$12.25$2.0B
1Y Target$40.78Analyst consensus · 9 analysts
5Y Target$71.32Compound horizon
10Y Target$180.87Long-dated conviction
FCF-$134mTTM
F
FCF is negative (-$134m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names
Rev+51.0%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +51.0% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E0.62
B
D/E 0.62 — near the Industrials debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/S6.0x
C
P/S 6.0x — expensive vs Industrials peers (≈90th pctile)
PEG
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 26.5
Quality0.40
Growth0.93
Value0.04
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
  • Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
74% off the 12-month high
Why now
Aerospace & Defense · market cap $2.0b. Down 74% from 52-week high of $46.75 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +51% — in hypergrowth territory. 9 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $40.78 (implying +233% upside).
Moat
ROE 33% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$134m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Currently unprofitable (margin -33.3%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 74% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $40.78 (9-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $71.32 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $180.87 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Trend
+3.5 over 31 daily scores
From 23.0 (Jun 22) → 26.5 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
163
Position size
$1,997
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$9.19
25% below $12.25
$ at risk if stopped
$499.19
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR): score, valuation & FAQ

Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) is a Aerospace & Defense company that scores 26.5 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a weak reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), while FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is LUNR a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores LUNR 26.5 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a weak reading. That is driven by Rev (A). A score is a quantitative screen of Intuitive Machines, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does LUNR score 26.5 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). LUNR earns its highest marks on Rev (A), and is held back by FCF (F). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is LUNR overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for LUNR — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in LUNR?

Free cash flow is negative (-$134m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Currently unprofitable (margin -33.3%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 74% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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