Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

LRCX analysis

Lam Research CorporationSemiconductor Equipment & Materials. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

LRCX
Lam Research Corporation · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
FCF$6.0bB+
Rev+23.7%A-
D/E0.35B
P/E62.8xC+
PEG2.02C
52.6Score
$353.17$441.7B
1Y Target$353.90Analyst consensus · 31 analysts
5Y Target$518.15Compound horizon
10Y Target$768.64Long-dated conviction
FCF$6.0bTTM
B+
FCF $6.0b — strong cash profile, above most peers
Rev+23.7%TTM YoY
A-
Revenue +23.7% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%)
D/E0.35
B
D/E 0.35 — near the Technology debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E62.8x
C+
P/E 62.8 — above the Technology median (≈75th pctile)
PEG2.02
C
PEG 2.02 — expensive relative to growth rate

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 52.6
Quality0.89
Growth0.94
Value0.17
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Raising its dividend
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
19% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value419% aboveest. fair value ~$68
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability59% · Agross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC38.7% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · market cap $441.7b. 19% off the 52-week high of $438.50. Revenue growing +24%, comfortably above the S&P median. 31 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $353.90 (implying +0% upside).
Moat
Net margin 31% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 63% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. $441.7b market cap places it among the largest companies in the sector — distribution, R&D, and customer-acquisition costs amortize across a base peers can't replicate.
Risk
Trailing P/E 62.8x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Beta 1.80 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. P/S 20.4x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard.
Horizon
1-3 yr $353.90 (31-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $518.15 at ~8% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $768.64 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Shares to buy
5
Position size
$1,766
3.5% of portfolio
Stop price
$264.88
25% below $353.17
$ at risk if stopped
$441.46
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Lam Research Corporation (LRCX): score, valuation & FAQ

Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) is a Semiconductor Equipment & Materials company that scores 52.6 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A-) and FCF (B+). On valuation, LRCX sits about 419% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich).

Is LRCX a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores LRCX 52.6 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (A-) and FCF (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Lam Research Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does LRCX score 52.6 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). LRCX earns its highest marks on Rev (A-) and FCF (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is LRCX overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $353.17, LRCX sits about 419% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich). It trades at a 62.8x× P/E (graded C+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in LRCX?

Trailing P/E 62.8x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Beta 1.80 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. P/S 20.4x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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