Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

LECO analysis

Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.Tools & Accessories. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

LECO
Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. · Tools & Accessories
FCF$542mC+
Rev+9.3%B
D/E0.77B
P/E28.9xB
PEG1.76C+
61.0Score
$289.73$15.8B
1Y Target$304.91Analyst consensus · 11 analysts
5Y Target$446.42Compound horizon
10Y Target$662.23Long-dated conviction
FCF$542mTTM
C+
FCF $542m — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+9.3%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +9.3% — at or above S&P median
D/E0.77
B
D/E 0.77 — near the Industrials debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E28.9x
B
P/E 28.9 — near the Industrials median (≈60th pctile)
PEG1.76
C+
PEG 1.76 — modest premium; above fair value

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 61
Quality81.8
Growth78.7
Value35.3
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
7% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value91% aboveest. fair value ~$152
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~25% a year for the next decade — vs the ~12% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability42% · A-gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC21.2% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Lincoln Electric is a high-quality compounder, strategically expanding its core welding and cutting expertise into higher-growth automated solutions and system integration services. The company's established position provides a stable base, while its expansion into automated solutions offers a clear path for sustained growth and margin expansion, evidenced by its strong 12.4% profit margin and impressive 9.3% revenue growth. Our model's Quality pillar score of 82 underscores the operational excellence driving these returns, making LECO a compelling growth play. The crux is LECO's ability to continuously integrate advanced technologies into its product portfolio, particularly in automated solutions, maintaining its market leadership.
Moat
LECO's durable edge stems from its comprehensive portfolio of specialized welding, cutting, and brazing products, including advanced arc welding equipment and plasma cutting systems, which create high switching costs for industrial clients. The company's exceptional 35.6% Return on Equity reflects its pricing power and operational efficiency, likely driven by its established leadership and technical expertise in these critical industrial applications. This allows LECO to consistently generate durable high returns, as highlighted by our model's signal of 'Durable high returns'.
Risk
Skeptics would argue that LECO's current valuation is stretched, with a 28.9 TTM P/E ratio and our model's weakest pillar being Value at 35. The reverse DCF analysis implies an aggressive ~25%/yr free-cash-flow growth sustained for 10 years, a figure that far outstrips the reported 9.3% FY YoY revenue growth. This suggests substantial optimism is already priced in, making the stock vulnerable to any deceleration in demand for its welding, cutting, or brazing products. A sustained period of lower-than-expected industrial capital expenditure would confirm the bear case, exposing the premium valuation.
Horizon
1-3 yr $304.91 (11-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $446.42 at ~9% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $662.23 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

LECO vs the Top Picks average

PillarLECOBook avgDiff
Quality0.820.83in line
Growth0.790.87-0.08
Value0.350.76-0.41

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.6). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+1.7 over 51 daily scores
From 59.3 (Jun 22) → 61.0 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

LECO at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD61.0/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY81.8GROWTH78.7VALUE35.3Reverse-DCF · Price implies ~25% growth a year from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$136$177FAIR-VALUE RANGE$290PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$152 · price $290 is 48% above it.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$290$216 LOWHIGH $310Trading at the 78th percentile of its 52-week range ($216–$310).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+18%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Every figure here comes from the same audited fundamentals behind the score. Charts drawn from data the score does not use say so on the card.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+3.9%
90-day change+3.8%
Forward EPS estimate$12.52

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect LECO to earn is drifting higher (+3.8%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
6
Position size
$1,738
3.5% of portfolio
Stop price
$217.30
25% below $289.73
$ at risk if stopped
$434.60
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. (LECO): score, valuation & FAQ

Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. (LECO) is a Tools & Accessories company that scores 61 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

On valuation, LECO sits about 91% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 25% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is LECO a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores LECO 61 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. A score is a quantitative screen of Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does LECO score 61 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on quality at 81.8 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 35.3 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. LECO grades middle-of-pack across the graded signals. Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so LECO is measured against Tools & Accessories peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is LECO overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $289.73, LECO sits about 91% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 25% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 28.9x P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in LECO?

Skeptics would argue that LECO's current valuation is stretched, with a 28.9 TTM P/E ratio and our model's weakest pillar being Value at 35. The reverse DCF analysis implies an aggressive ~25%/yr free-cash-flow growth sustained for 10 years, a figure that far outstrips the reported 9.3% FY YoY revenue growth. This suggests substantial optimism is already priced in, making the stock vulnerable to any deceleration in demand for its welding, cutting, or brazing products. A sustained period of lower-than-expected industrial capital expenditure would confirm the bear case, exposing the premium valuation.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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