Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

LCID analysis

Lucid Group, Inc.Auto Manufacturers. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

Electric Vehicles & Battery
LCID
Lucid Group, Inc. · Auto Manufacturers
FCF-$4.6bF
Rev+67.6%A
D/E1.55C+
P/S2.1xC+
PEG
14.9Score
$7.63$3.0B
1Y Target$8.30Analyst consensus · 10 analysts
5Y Target$14.52Compound horizon
10Y Target$25.94Long-dated conviction
FCF-$4.6bTTM
F
FCF is negative (-$4.6b) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names
Rev+67.6%FY YoY
A
Revenue +67.6% — hypergrowth, top decile · Computed from last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E1.55
C+
D/E 1.55 — above the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈75th pctile)
P/S2.1x
C+
P/S 2.1x — above the Consumer Cyclical median (≈75th pctile)
PEG
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 14.9
Quality0.13
Growth0.50
Value0.00
Why this score
  • Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
70% off the 12-month high
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability-18% · Fgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
Why now
Auto Manufacturers · market cap $3.0b. Down 70% from 52-week high of $25.23 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +68% — in hypergrowth territory. 10 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $8.30 (implying +9% upside).
Moat
Higher-variance name — the moat signals on the quantitative card are modest, so the durability case rests on execution (turning current growth into durable earnings power) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than an entrenched competitive position.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$4.6b) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Down 70% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $8.30 (10-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $14.52 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $25.94 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

LCID vs the Top Picks average

PillarLCIDBook avgDiff
Quality0.130.83-0.69
Growth0.500.91-0.41
Value0.000.75-0.75

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-0.5 over 34 daily scores
From 15.4 (Jun 22) → 14.9 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
262
Position size
$1,999
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$5.72
25% below $7.63
$ at risk if stopped
$499.76
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Lucid Group, Inc. (LCID): score, valuation & FAQ

Lucid Group, Inc. (LCID) is a Auto Manufacturers company that scores 14.9 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a weak reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), while FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is LCID a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores LCID 14.9 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a weak reading. That is driven by Rev (A). A score is a quantitative screen of Lucid Group, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does LCID score 14.9 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). LCID earns its highest marks on Rev (A), and is held back by FCF (F). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is LCID overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for LCID — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in LCID?

Free cash flow is negative (-$4.6b) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Down 70% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

More Automotive stocks by score

All Consumer Cyclical rankings →

Analyze another ticker →