LKQ Corporation — Auto Parts. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
LKQ
LKQ Corporation · Auto Parts
FCF$625mC+
Rev+1.3%C
D/E0.82B
P/E13.0xA-
PEG0.92B+
62.4Score
$23.35$5.9B
1Y Target$33.50Analyst consensus · 8 analysts
5Y Target$42.29Compound horizon
10Y Target$54.24Long-dated conviction
FCF$625mTTMC+
FCF $625m — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+1.3%TTM YoYC
Revenue +1.3% — flat, mature phase or headwinds present
D/E0.82B
D/E 0.82 — near the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E13.0xA-
P/E 13.0 — cheaper than most Consumer Cyclical peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG0.92B+
PEG 0.92 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 62.4
Quality0.64
Growth0.50
Value0.75
Why this score
Durable high returns
Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
37% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value58% belowest. fair value ~$55
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~-11% a year for the next decade — vs the ~15% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability35% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC10.6% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Auto Parts · market cap $5.9b. Down 37% from 52-week high of $37.13 — deep drawdown territory. PEG 0.92 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 8 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $33.50 (implying +43% upside).
Moat
FCF converts 136% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Down 37% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Net margin 3.4% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. ROE 7% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Horizon
1-3 yr $33.50 (8-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $42.29 at ~13% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $54.24 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
LKQ vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
LKQ
Book avg
Diff
Quality
0.64
0.83
-0.18
Growth
0.50
0.91
-0.41
Value
0.75
0.75
in line
Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.
Score history · LKQ
Trend
+0.1 over 34 daily scores
From 62.3 (Jun 22) → 62.4 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · LKQ
$
%
%
Shares to buy
85
Position size
$1,985
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$17.51
25% below $23.35
$ at risk if stopped
$496.19
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
LKQ Corporation (LKQ): score, valuation & FAQ
LKQ Corporation (LKQ) is a Auto Parts company that scores 62.4 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-) and PEG (B+). On valuation, LKQ sits about 58% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -11% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.
Is LKQ a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores LKQ 62.4 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by P/E (A-) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of LKQ Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does LKQ score 62.4 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). LKQ earns its highest marks on P/E (A-) and PEG (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is LKQ overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $23.35, LKQ sits about 58% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -11% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 13.0x× P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in LKQ?
Down 37% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Net margin 3.4% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. ROE 7% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.