COMPARE · Reviewed July 2, 2026
GPOR vs HESM
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. GPOR scored 67, HESM scored 65.3 — GPOR ahead by 1.7000000000000028.
GPOR
Gulfport Energy Corporation
67
$168.87
Score gap
1.7000000000000028
GPOR leads
HESM
Hess Midstream LP
65.3
$38.16
The companies
GPORGulfport Energy Corporation
Why now
Oil & Gas E&P · market cap $3.0b. Down 25% from 52-week high of $225.78 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +48% — in hypergrowth territory. PEG 0.13 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 11 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $242.00 (implying +43% upside).
Moat
Net margin 36% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 33% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Jurisdictional + permitting risk — mining and extraction operations concentrate exposure to political stability, royalty regimes, and environmental review timelines that can stall production for years.
HESMHess Midstream LP
Why now
Oil & Gas Midstream · market cap $7.9b. 14% off the 52-week high of $44.14. 6 sell-side analysts rate this an Underperform with a mean 1-yr target of $36.83 (implying -3% upside).
Moat
Net margin 23% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong.
Risk
Dividend payout 103% of earnings on a 8.0% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut. Hedge-book exposure — many commodity producers hedge forward production; if the hedge book is concentrated at prices well below spot, the upside the market expects is already locked away.
Base grades (each contributes ~14.3% of base composite)
| GPOR | Component | HESM |
|---|---|---|
| C65 | FCF | C+70 |
| A95 | Rev | B80 |
| B80 | D/E | C65 |
| A95 | P/E or P/S | B+85 |
| A95 | PEG | C+70 |
| Supplemental signals · feed the score, not on the row card | ||
| A95 | FCF Yield | A95 |
| A95 | ROE | C65 |
| 89.3 | Base composite | 76.6 |
Adjustments (signed deltas applied on top of base)
GPOR
compounder synergy (FCF yield ≥5% + ROE ≥15% + D/E <1)+4
GARP sweet spot (PEG <1, positive FCF)+1
analyst consensus tilt buy (62%)+1
DCF cross-check (avg upside 152%)+2
Total+8
HESM
analyst consensus weak (0% buy)-2
yield trap (yield 8.0%, payout 103%)-2
DCF cross-check (avg upside 190%)+2
ROE truncated (buyback-depleted equity)-1
Total-3
DCF cross-check (per-share value vs. live price)
| GPOR upside | Horizon | HESM upside |
|---|---|---|
| +100% | 1Y | +159% |
| +141% | 5Y | +184% |
| +216% | 10Y | +227% |
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.