Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

G analysis

Genpact LimitedInformation Technology Services. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

G
Genpact Limited · Information Technology Services
FCF$572mC+
Rev+6.5%C+
D/E0.54C+
P/E11.1xA
PEG1.16B+
76.1Score
$37.14$6.2B
1Y Target$42.18Analyst consensus · 11 analysts
5Y Target$53.25Compound horizon
10Y Target$68.30Long-dated conviction
FCF$572mTTM
C+
FCF $572m — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+6.5%TTM YoY
C+
Revenue +6.5% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E0.54
C+
D/E 0.54 — above the Technology debt median (≈75th pctile)
P/E11.1x
A
P/E 11.1 — cheapest decile in Technology (≈10th pctile)
PEG1.16
B+
PEG 1.16 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 76.1
Quality80.2
Growth72.7
Value75.7
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Raising its dividend
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
24% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value57% belowest. fair value ~$87
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~-13% a year for the next decade — vs the ~10% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability35% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC16.3% · A-return on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Genpact’s Financial Services arm is locked into a global banking compliance spend, and its deep‑rooted loan‑origination and risk‑management platforms let it capture that pipeline at a 6.5% revenue growth rate while delivering an 11.1% profit margin and generating $572 m of free cash flow—all at a rock‑bottom PE of 10.1×. The combination of cash‑rich balance sheet and disciplined buy‑backs means the stock can compound earnings faster than the market, and the thesis hinges on the continued secular rise of regulated financial‑services outsourcing.
Moat
Genpact’s moat lives in its high‑margin, contract‑heavy Financial Services suite—customer onboarding, loan operations and compliance—where switching costs are steep and the firm’s proprietary insurance‑policy engine locks in multi‑year pricing power, driving a sector‑beating ROE of 22.4%. Its global delivery network across India, Asia and the Americas further entrenches client relationships that rivals can’t replicate quickly.
Risk
The biggest headwind is the modest growth outlook: a 6.5% FY YoY revenue increase trails the sector’s faster peers, and the Bull Rankings model’s reverse‑DCF shows the current price assumes a -15% annual free‑cash‑flow trajectory—an unrealistic optimism gap that could force a correction if growth stalls or margins compress. A rise in debt‑to‑equity above 0.6 or a slowdown in the financial‑services spend would validate the bear case.
Horizon
1-3 yr $42.18 (11-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $53.25 at ~7% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $68.30 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

G vs the Top Picks average

PillarGBook avgDiff
Quality0.800.84-0.04
Growth0.730.84-0.11
Value0.760.78-0.03

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-1.0 over 45 daily scores
From 77.1 (Jun 22) → 76.1 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.7%
90-day change+0.8%
Forward EPS estimate$4.51

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect G to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
53
Position size
$1,968
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$27.86
25% below $37.14
$ at risk if stopped
$492.11
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Genpact Limited (G): score, valuation & FAQ

Genpact Limited (G) is a Information Technology Services company that scores 76.1 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A) and PEG (B+). On valuation, G sits about 57% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -13% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is G a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores G 76.1 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by P/E (A) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Genpact Limited's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does G score 76.1 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). G earns its highest marks on P/E (A) and PEG (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is G overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $37.14, G sits about 57% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -13% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 11.1x P/E (graded A). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in G?

The biggest headwind is the modest growth outlook: a 6.5% FY YoY revenue increase trails the sector’s faster peers, and the Bull Rankings model’s reverse‑DCF shows the current price assumes a -15% annual free‑cash‑flow trajectory—an unrealistic optimism gap that could force a correction if growth stalls or margins compress. A rise in debt‑to‑equity above 0.6 or a slowdown in the financial‑services spend would validate the bear case.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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