DUOL vs the Top Picks average
| Pillar | DUOL | Book avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quality | 0.72 | 0.84 | -0.12 |
| Growth | 0.64 | 0.87 | -0.23 |
| Value | 0.69 | 0.76 | -0.06 |
Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Analyst estimate revisions
| 30-day change | -2.2% |
|---|---|
| 90-day change | -3.2% |
| Forward EPS estimate | $7.68 |
Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect DUOL to earn is drifting lower (-3.2%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.
A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Latest DUOL developments
Recent headlines from across the financial press · updated daily. Links open the source.
- Duolingo Has Already Been Disrupting The Education Services Industry, But This Is Just The BeginningSeekingAlpha ·
- DUOL Stock Eyes Best Week In Over A Year: Retail Cheers Duolingo's 'Fortress-Like Balance Sheet'Stocktwits ·
- Duolingo Stock Is Shaking Off AI FearsBarchart.com ·
- Duolingo Stock Jumped 12% This Week. Here’s Why D.A. Davidson Turned BullishTIKR.com ·
- Duolingo, Inc. (NASDAQ:DUOL) Receives Consensus Rating of "Hold" from BrokeragesMarketBeat ·
- Duolingo (DUOL) Stock May Be A Bargain On Cash Flow But Rich On Earningssimplywall.st ·
Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL): score, valuation & FAQ
Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) is a Software - Application company that scores 68.6 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A-), D/E (A-) and P/E (A-). On valuation, DUOL sits about 22% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 4% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.
Is DUOL a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores DUOL 68.6 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A-), D/E (A-) and P/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Duolingo, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does DUOL score 68.6 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). DUOL earns its highest marks on Rev (A-), D/E (A-) and P/E (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is DUOL overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $146.13, DUOL sits about 22% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 4% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 17.3x P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in DUOL?
The primary bear case for Duolingo, as highlighted by our model's weakest pillar, Growth, scoring 68, concerns the sustainability of its rapid expansion. Despite the current 35.5% revenue growth, the market's skepticism is reflected in the analyst consensus 1-year target of $114.35, implying a potential downside from the current price of $135.32. This suggests fears that the company's aggressive rollout of new language courses and the digital English proficiency exam could face increasing competition or market saturation, leading to decelerating user acquisition and monetization. Furthermore, our model signals "Diluting shareholders," a caution that could exacerbate pressure if growth slows. A sustained deceleration in revenue growth rates below 30% over the next few quarters would confirm this bearish outlook.
New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.