Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

DOX analysis

Amdocs LimitedSoftware - Infrastructure. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

DOX
Amdocs Limited · Software - Infrastructure
FCF$619mC+
Rev+2.4%C
D/E0.33B
P/E14.6xA-
PEG0.78A-
71.1Score
$61.40$6.4B
1Y Target$75.94Analyst consensus · 4 analysts
5Y Target$95.87Compound horizon
10Y Target$122.95Long-dated conviction
FCF$619mTTM
C+
FCF $619m — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+2.4%TTM YoY
C
Revenue +2.4% — flat, mature phase or headwinds present
D/E0.33
B
D/E 0.33 — near the Technology debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E14.6x
A-
P/E 14.6 — cheaper than most Technology peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG0.78
A-
PEG 0.78 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 71.1
Quality75.2
Growth58.2
Value82.0
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Raising its dividend
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
30% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value37% belowest. fair value ~$98
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~-5% a year for the next decade — vs the ~8% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability27% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC12.1% · B+return on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Amdocs' CES25 GenAI‑led customer experience suite is unlocking high‑margin upsell across telco operators, driving earnings faster than the modest top‑line. The business is already delivering 2.4% revenue growth YoY, a healthy 9.9% profit margin, and trades at an attractive 13.6× P/E with a sub‑1.0 PEG, meaning the market is pricing growth far below the AI‑driven upside. The thesis rests on sustained AI‑enabled monetization of existing carrier contracts.
Moat
The CES25 platform and Amdocs Monetization Suite are deeply embedded in carriers' billing and CRM stacks, creating switching costs that lock in multi‑year contracts. This telco‑native, GenAI‑powered architecture gives Amdocs pricing power and limits competitors’ ability to replicate the integrated solution quickly.
Risk
Revenue growth has stalled at just 2.4% YoY, far below the sector’s secular expansion, and the Bull Rankings model’s reverse‑DCF implies a -7% FCF growth rate that the market is already pricing in. If carriers defer AI upgrades, the stock could tumble toward its $49.74 52‑week low, confirming the bear case.
Horizon
1-3 yr $75.94 (4-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $95.87 at ~9% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $122.95 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

DOX vs the Top Picks average

PillarDOXBook avgDiff
Quality0.750.84-0.09
Growth0.580.84-0.26
Value0.820.78+0.04

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+1.6 over 45 daily scores
From 69.5 (Jun 22) → 71.1 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-0.5%
90-day change-0.9%
Forward EPS estimate$8.02

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect DOX to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
32
Position size
$1,965
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$46.05
25% below $61.40
$ at risk if stopped
$491.20
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Latest DOX developments

Recent headlines from across the financial press · updated daily. Links open the source.

Amdocs Limited (DOX): score, valuation & FAQ

Amdocs Limited (DOX) is a Software - Infrastructure company that scores 71.1 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-) and PEG (A-). On valuation, DOX sits about 37% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -5% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is DOX a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores DOX 71.1 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by P/E (A-) and PEG (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Amdocs Limited's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does DOX score 71.1 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). DOX earns its highest marks on P/E (A-) and PEG (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is DOX overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $61.40, DOX sits about 37% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -5% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 14.6x P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in DOX?

Revenue growth has stalled at just 2.4% YoY, far below the sector’s secular expansion, and the Bull Rankings model’s reverse‑DCF implies a -7% FCF growth rate that the market is already pricing in. If carriers defer AI upgrades, the stock could tumble toward its $49.74 52‑week low, confirming the bear case.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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