1Y Target$56.97Near-term target
5Y Target$70.59Compound horizon
10Y Target$90.10Long-dated conviction
FCF$2.5bTTM · 03/26BFCF $2.5b — solid, comfortably covers operations and capital return · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+6.5%TTM YoYC+Revenue +6.5% — steady but below market-beating range · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E0.04totalAD/E 0.04 — essentially debt-free, pristine balance sheet · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/E11.2xA-P/E 11.2 — cheap relative to market and most sectors
PEG1.71proxyC+PEG 1.71 — modest premium; above fair value · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Technology · market cap $25.0b. Down 39% from 52-week high of $87.03 — deep drawdown territory.
Moat
ROE 15% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere.
Risk
Down 39% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $56.97 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $70.59 at ~6% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $90.10 if the moat survives secular pressure.
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