Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

CTRI analysis

Centuri Holdings, Inc.Utilities - Regulated Gas. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

CTRI
Centuri Holdings, Inc. · Utilities - Regulated Gas
FCF-$15mF
Rev+25.2%A-
D/E1.08B+
P/S0.6xA
PEG1.01B+
57.3Score
$21.36$2.2B
1Y Target$31.75Analyst consensus · 6 analysts
5Y Target$55.53Compound horizon
10Y Target$99.24Long-dated conviction
FCF-$15mTTM
F
FCF is negative (-$15m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names
Rev+25.2%TTM YoY
A-
Revenue +25.2% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%)
D/E1.08
B+
D/E 1.08 — below the Utilities debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/S0.6x
A
P/S 0.6x — cheapest decile in Utilities (≈10th pctile)
PEG1.01
B+
PEG 1.01 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 57.3
Quality38.4
Growth71.0
Value69.0
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
  • Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
50% off the 12-month high
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability11% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC4.6% · C+return on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Utilities - Regulated Gas · market cap $2.2b. Down 50% from 52-week high of $42.98 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +25% — in hypergrowth territory. 6 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $31.75 (implying +49% upside).
Moat
Higher-variance name — the moat signals on the quantitative card are modest, so the durability case rests on execution (turning current growth into durable earnings power) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than an entrenched competitive position.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$15m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Trailing P/E 64.7x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Down 50% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $31.75 (6-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $55.53 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $99.24 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

CTRI vs the Top Picks average

PillarCTRIBook avgDiff
Quality0.380.84-0.45
Growth0.710.84-0.13
Value0.690.78-0.09

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+2.9 over 46 daily scores
From 54.4 (Jun 22) → 57.3 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-3.1%
90-day change-6.3%
Forward EPS estimate$0.94

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect CTRI to earn is materially lower (-6.3%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
93
Position size
$1,986
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$16.02
25% below $21.36
$ at risk if stopped
$496.62
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Centuri Holdings, Inc. (CTRI): score, valuation & FAQ

Centuri Holdings, Inc. (CTRI) is a Utilities - Regulated Gas company that scores 57.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/S (A), Rev (A-) and D/E (B+), while FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is CTRI a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores CTRI 57.3 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by P/S (A), Rev (A-) and D/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Centuri Holdings, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does CTRI score 57.3 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). CTRI earns its highest marks on P/S (A), Rev (A-) and D/E (B+), and is held back by FCF (F). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is CTRI overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for CTRI — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in CTRI?

Free cash flow is negative (-$15m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Trailing P/E 64.7x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Down 50% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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