Bull Rankings model

Centuri Holdings, Inc. (CTRI) stock analysis

Utilities - Regulated Gas. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
CTRI
Centuri Holdings, Inc. · Utilities - Regulated Gas
48.3Score
$20.90Oct 9 close$2.1B
1Y Target$28.50Analyst consensus · 6 analysts
5Y Target$49.85Compound horizon
10Y Target$89.09Long-dated conviction
FCF-$15mTTM · 06/26
F
FCF is negative (-$15m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 06/26.
Rev+25.2%TTM YoY
A-
Revenue +25.2% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%) · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E1.08
A-
D/E 1.08 — less debt than most Utilities peers (≈25th pctile)
P/S*0.6x
A
P/S 0.6x — cheapest decile in Utilities (≈10th pctile)
PEG1.01
B+
PEG 1.01 — near fair value (1.0 is the usual benchmark)

* P/S replaces P/E — no positive earnings to divide by

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 48.3
Quality38.1
Growth80.2
Value36.9
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
  • Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
51% off the 12-month high
Quality signals
Gross profitability11% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC4.6% · C+return on invested capital — leads the quality score

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Utilities - Regulated Gas · market cap $2.1b. Down 51% from 52-week high of $42.98 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +25% — in hypergrowth territory. 6 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $28.50 (implying +36% upside).
Moat
Higher-variance name — the moat signals on the quantitative card are modest, so the durability case rests on execution (turning current growth into durable earnings power) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than an entrenched competitive position.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$15m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Trailing P/E 63.3x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Down 51% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $28.50 (6-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $49.85 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $89.09 — return distribution heavily skewed.

CTRI vs the Top Picks average

PillarCTRIBook avgDiff
Quality3883-45
Growth8089-9
Value3776-39

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
-6.1 over 81 daily scores
From 54.4 (Jun 22) → 48.3 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

CTRI at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD48.3/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY38.1GROWTH80.2VALUE36.9
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$20.9LOW $19HIGH $43Trading near its 52-week low ($19–$43).
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100CTRI 48.3Ranks above 48% of 1,709 companies on the quality-growth score.
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+4%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+2.3%
90-day change-4.1%
Forward EPS estimate$0.97

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect CTRI to earn is drifting lower (-4.1%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
95
Position size
$1,985
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$15.67
25% below $20.90
$ at risk if stopped
$496.37
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

Centuri Holdings, Inc. (CTRI): score, valuation & FAQ

Centuri Holdings, Inc. (CTRI) is a Utilities - Regulated Gas company that scores 48.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/S (A), Rev (A-) and D/E (A-), while FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is CTRI a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores CTRI 48.3 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by P/S (A), Rev (A-) and D/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Centuri Holdings, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does CTRI score 48.3 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on growth at 80.2 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 36.9 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. CTRI earns its highest marks on P/S (A), Rev (A-) and D/E (A-), and is held back by FCF (F). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so CTRI is measured against Utilities - Regulated Gas peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is CTRI overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for CTRI — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in CTRI?

Free cash flow is negative (-$15m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Trailing P/E 63.3x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Down 51% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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