Bull Rankings model

CoreWeave, Inc. (CRWV) stock analysis

Software - Infrastructure. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

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CRWV
CoreWeave, Inc. · Software - Infrastructure
18.4Score
$82.08Oct 9 close$45.3B
1Y Target$141.47Analyst consensus · 38 analysts
5Y Target$247.44Compound horizon
10Y Target$442.22Long-dated conviction
FCF-$13.7bTTM · 06/26
F
FCF is negative (-$13.7b) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names · Trailing twelve months to 06/26 (operating cash flow − capex).
Rev+167.9%FY YoY
A
Revenue +167.9% — hypergrowth, top decile · Computed from the last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E*—
—
No debt-to-equity ratio to show (see the note below the grades)
P/S*6.0x
B
P/S 6.0x — near the Technology median (≈60th pctile)
PEG*—
—
PEG n/a — no positive earnings to base it on

* D/E omitted — equity is negative or tiny next to debt

* P/S replaces P/E — no positive earnings to divide by

* PEG n/a — no positive earnings to base it on

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 18.4
Quality12.5
Growth100.0
Value5.0
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
  • Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
45% off the 12-month high

Model-generatedWritten from the fundamentals then; figures in the text are as of that day, today's are above · Editorial standards

Why now
CoreWeave’s CoreWeave Cloud platform is rapidly becoming the de‑facto backbone for AI‑intensive workloads, and that stickiness fuels a revenue surge of 115.3% YoY. With a market cap of $46.6 billion and a consensus 1‑yr target of $144.46, the stock is poised to capture a near‑term upside as enterprises double‑down on its Kubernetes‑managed AI infrastructure. The thesis hinges on the compounding effect of AI‑driven demand that will keep the platform’s usage expanding for years to come.
Moat
The CoreWeave Kubernetes service and its Local Object Transport Accelerator lock customers into a tightly integrated stack that eliminates the need to re‑architect workloads across clouds, creating high switching costs for AI developers who rely on the platform’s runtime acceleration and model‑development tools. This end‑to‑end solution, combined with bespoke fleet lifecycle management, gives CoreWeave a defensible position that rivals cannot replicate quickly.
Risk
The business burns cash at a massive rate, evidenced by a trailing‑12‑month free cash flow of -$13.7 billion, and its profit margin sits at a dismal -25.4%, raising doubts about sustainability if AI spend slows. A further deterioration in margins or a funding crunch would validate the model’s “diluting shareholders” signal and could crush the growth narrative.
Horizon
1-3 yr $141.47 (38-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $247.44 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $442.22 — return distribution heavily skewed.

CRWV vs the Top Picks average

PillarCRWVBook avgDiff
Quality1383-70
Growth10089+11
Value576-71

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
+0.5 over 81 daily scores
From 17.9 (Jun 22) → 18.4 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

CRWV at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD18.4/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY12.5GROWTH100.0VALUE5.0
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100CRWV 18.4Ranks above 7% of 1,709 companies on the quality-growth score.
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock-41%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$82.1LOW $60.6HIGH $150Trading at the 24th percentile of its 52-week range ($60.6–$150).

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Shares to buy
24
Position size
$1,970
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$61.56
25% below $82.08
$ at risk if stopped
$492.48
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

The Bull Rankings deep dive

Analysis as of · figures are as written that day and are not updated. Today's numbers are in the cards above.

Written by the Bull Rankings model from fundamentals as of , and checked against those figures. How we source & verify every figure →

The Bull Rankings scorecard — our quality-growth score is 18.4 / 100, built from three pillars scored 0–100: Quality 13, Growth 100, Value 0 (valuation is judged against sector peers).

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD18.4/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY12.5GROWTH100.0VALUE0.0

The thesis

CoreWeave’s 115.3 % revenue growth in the trailing twelve months is the only thing that can justify a current price of $83.35. The Bull Rankings model gives the stock a 18.4/100 quality‑growth score, with Growth at 100 and Value at 0. Value at 0 puts the stock at the expensive extreme of its sector peers. The three pillars that drive the thesis are Growth (100), Quality (13), and Value (0). Growth is the story; Value is the risk. If the company can sustain its 115 % YoY revenue expansion, the price will stay elevated, but any hint that the growth is slowing will be punished.

What the business actually is

PROFITABILITY & RETURNSNET MARGIN-25.4%ROIC-0.6%ROE-38.4%GROSS PROFIT / ASSETS6.6%Not yet profitable on invested capital — a growth or turnaround bet.

CoreWeave sells a cloud infrastructure platform that automates and optimizes AI workloads. Its core offerings include the CoreWeave Cloud platform, a proprietary software stack that delivers automation and efficiency for large‑scale AI infrastructure. The company also markets data and storage solutions such as the Local Object Transport Accelerator, infrastructure control solutions like the CoreWeave Kubernetes service, and mission‑control services that manage node, rack, and fleet lifecycles. On the developer side, it offers Weights & Biases, an AI developer platform, and runtime acceleration tools. The revenue engine is dominated by the CoreWeave Cloud platform, which attracts AI‑heavy customers who need scalable GPU resources.

Why it can (or can't) keep compounding

QUALITY VS GROWTHweaker quality →strongerfasterslowergrowthCRWVVs Software — fast growth on a weaker quality base.

The moat lies in the integration of software and hardware. By bundling GPU‑rich infrastructure with automation tools, CoreWeave reduces the operational friction that competitors face when deploying AI workloads. The company’s proprietary Kubernetes service and lifecycle management tools create switching costs for customers who rely on its platform for continuous training and inference. These capabilities are not easily replicated; they require deep engineering expertise and a sizable customer base to justify the development spend. Our model flags the opposite: a short track record. CoreWeave has been public for less than two years, and its return on invested capital is still negative, so there is no multi‑year record of returns to lean on. However, the company is still burning cash, with free cash flow of ‑$13.7 b and a negative profit margin of ‑25.4 %. Until it turns profitable, the sustainability of its growth remains contingent on continued capital infusion.

The valuation question

ANALYST PRICE TARGETS$144$83.4TODAY$39 LOWHIGH $31735 analysts average $144, 73% above today's $83.4. A target isan opinion, not a valuation - our DCF is the independent read.

The price already assumes a 115 % revenue growth that will persist. The P/S ratio of 6.1 places CoreWeave above the median for software‑infrastructure peers, reflecting the market’s willingness to pay a premium for growth. Our reverse‑DCF cannot solve for an implied growth rate here at all: free cash flow is deeply negative, so there is no cash flow to discount. If the company can maintain or accelerate that growth, the valuation remains justified; if it slows even modestly, the price will retract. The analyst consensus 1‑year target of $144.46 is roughly 73 % above the current price, implying analysts see significant upside if growth stays strong. Yet the Value pillar at 0 warns that the stock is already on the expensive side of its sector peers, so any misstep in growth will be punished sharply.

The bear case

The most compelling skeptic is the company’s negative free cash flow of ‑$13.7 b and a profit margin of ‑25.4 %. These figures show that CoreWeave is still a cash‑burning venture, and the market’s premium is built on the assumption that it will soon become profitable. The Bull Rankings model also flags “Diluting shareholders” as a cautionary signal, indicating that equity issuances could erode value. If the company fails to convert its revenue growth into positive cash flow within the next 12–18 months, the 6.1 P/S multiple will collapse, and the 115 % growth assumption will be called into question.

What would change our mind

  1. Free cash flow turns positive: If CoreWeave reports a positive FCF in the next quarter, the quality pillar would rise well above 13, strengthening the case.
  2. Revenue growth slows below 80 % YoY: A drop below 80 % would undercut the only pillar carrying the stock.
  3. Share dilution exceeds 10 %: A significant equity issuance would confirm the “Diluting shareholders” signal and erode the valuation premium.

These thresholds are anchored to the latest quarter ended 2026‑06‑30. If any of them materialize, the thesis will shift from a growth‑driven case to a cautionary one.

CoreWeave, Inc. (CRWV): score, valuation & FAQ

CoreWeave, Inc. (CRWV) is a Software - Infrastructure company that scores 18.4 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a weak reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), while FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is CRWV a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores CRWV 18.4 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a weak reading. That is driven by Rev (A). A score is a quantitative screen of CoreWeave, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does CRWV score 18.4 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on growth at 100.0 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 5.0 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. CRWV earns its highest marks on Rev (A), and is held back by FCF (F). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so CRWV is measured against Software - Infrastructure peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is CRWV overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for CRWV — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in CRWV?

The business burns cash at a massive rate, evidenced by a trailing‑12‑month free cash flow of -$13.7 billion, and its profit margin sits at a dismal -25.4%, raising doubts about sustainability if AI spend slows. A further deterioration in margins or a funding crunch would validate the model’s “diluting shareholders” signal and could crush the growth narrative.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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