Crocs, Inc. — Footwear & Accessories. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
CROX
Crocs, Inc. · Footwear & Accessories
FCF$705mC+
Rev-2.0%D+
D/E1.22B
P/E12.5xA-
PEG1.39B
62.7Score
$137.32$6.6B
1Y Target$135.75Analyst consensus · 12 analysts
5Y Target$171.38Compound horizon
10Y Target$219.79Long-dated conviction
FCF$705mTTMC+
FCF $705m — respectable but not differentiating
Rev-2.0%TTM YoYD+
Revenue -2.0% — shrinking; needs a catalyst to reverse
D/E1.22B
D/E 1.22 — near the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E12.5xA-
P/E 12.5 — cheaper than most Consumer Cyclical peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG1.39B
PEG 1.39 — acceptable premium for growth
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 62.7
Quality0.84
Growth0.50
Value0.59
Why this score
Buying back stock
Revenue shrinking
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
2% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value18% belowest. fair value ~$167
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~0% a year for the next decade — vs the ~7% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability53% · Agross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC24.6% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Footwear & Accessories · market cap $6.6b. Trading near 52-week high of $140.78 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. 12 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $135.75 (implying -1% upside).
Moat
Net margin 15% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 43% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 119% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Trading within 2% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction. Beta 1.53 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Horizon
1-3 yr $135.75 (12-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $171.38 at ~5% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $219.79 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
CROX vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
CROX
Book avg
Diff
Quality
0.84
0.84
in line
Growth
0.50
0.92
-0.42
Value
0.59
0.75
-0.16
Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 82.6). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.
Score history · CROX
Trend
+16.7 over 35 daily scores
From 46.0 (Jun 22) → 62.7 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · CROX
$
%
%
Shares to buy
14
Position size
$1,922
3.8% of portfolio
Stop price
$102.99
25% below $137.32
$ at risk if stopped
$480.62
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Crocs, Inc. (CROX): score, valuation & FAQ
Crocs, Inc. (CROX) is a Footwear & Accessories company that scores 62.7 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-), while Rev (D+) rate weaker. On valuation, CROX sits about 18% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 0% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.
Is CROX a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores CROX 62.7 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by P/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Crocs, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does CROX score 62.7 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). CROX earns its highest marks on P/E (A-), and is held back by Rev (D+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is CROX overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $137.32, CROX sits about 18% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 0% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 12.5x× P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in CROX?
Trading within 2% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction. Beta 1.53 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.