Bull Rankings model

Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) stock analysis

Utilities - Regulated Gas. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
CPK
Chesapeake Utilities Corporation · Utilities - Regulated Gas
61.1Score
$127.75Oct 9 close$3.2B
1Y Target$147.75Analyst consensus · 6 analysts
5Y Target$258.42Compound horizon
10Y Target$461.84Long-dated conviction
FCF-$194mTTM · 06/26
F
FCF is negative (-$194m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names · Trailing twelve months to 06/26 (operating cash flow − capex).
Rev+18.1%FY YoY
B+
Revenue +18.1% — above sector median, healthy trajectory · Computed from the last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E1.01
A-
D/E 1.01 — less debt than most Utilities peers (≈25th pctile)
P/S*3.2x
C+
P/S 3.2x — above the Utilities median (≈75th pctile)
PEG2.20
C
PEG 2.20 — expensive relative to growth rate

* P/S replaces P/E — no positive earnings to divide by

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 61.1
Quality48.7
Growth81.3
Value57.8
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
9% off the 12-month high

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Utilities - Regulated Gas · market cap $3.2b. 9% off the 52-week high of $140.83. Revenue growing +18%, comfortably above the S&P median. 6 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $147.75 (implying +16% upside).
Moat
Net margin 15% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$194m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.
Horizon
1-3 yr $147.75 (6-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $258.42 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $461.84 — return distribution heavily skewed.

CPK vs the Top Picks average

PillarCPKBook avgDiff
Quality4983-34
Growth8189-8
Value5876-18

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
-6.9 over 82 daily scores
From 68.0 (Jun 22) → 61.1 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

CPK at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD61.1/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY48.7GROWTH81.3VALUE57.8
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$128LOW $119HIGH $141Trading at the 40th percentile of its 52-week range ($119–$141).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock-7%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100CPK 61.1Top 25% of 1,709 companies on the quality-growth score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.5%
90-day change+0.7%
Forward EPS estimate$7.36

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect CPK to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
15
Position size
$1,916
3.8% of portfolio
Stop price
$95.81
25% below $127.75
$ at risk if stopped
$479.06
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK): score, valuation & FAQ

Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) is a Utilities - Regulated Gas company that scores 61.1 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A-) and Rev (B+), while FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is CPK a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores CPK 61.1 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by D/E (A-) and Rev (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does CPK score 61.1 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on growth at 81.3 out of 100, with quality the weakest pillar at 48.7 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. CPK earns its highest marks on D/E (A-) and Rev (B+), and is held back by FCF (F). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so CPK is measured against Utilities - Regulated Gas peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is CPK overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for CPK — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in CPK?

Free cash flow is negative (-$194m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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