Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

CPK analysis

Chesapeake Utilities CorporationUtilities - Regulated Gas. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

CPK
Chesapeake Utilities Corporation · Utilities - Regulated Gas
FCF-$194mF
Rev+14.6%B+
D/E1.01A-
P/S3.3xC+
PEG2.48C
55.9Score
$134.13$3.2B
1Y Target$146.90Analyst consensus · 5 analysts
5Y Target$256.93Compound horizon
10Y Target$459.18Long-dated conviction
FCF-$194mTTM
F
FCF is negative (-$194m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names
Rev+14.6%TTM YoY
B+
Revenue +14.6% — above sector median, healthy trajectory
D/E1.01
A-
D/E 1.01 — less debt than most Utilities peers (≈25th pctile)
P/S3.3x
C+
P/S 3.3x — above the Utilities median (≈75th pctile)
PEG2.48
C
PEG 2.48 — expensive relative to growth rate

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 55.9
Quality49.8
Growth84.5
Value41.4
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
5% off the 12-month high
Quality signals · context only
ROIC6.4% · C+return on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Utilities - Regulated Gas · market cap $3.2b. 5% off the 52-week high of $140.83. Revenue growing +15%, comfortably above the S&P median. 5 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $146.90 (implying +10% upside).
Moat
Net margin 15% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$194m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.
Horizon
1-3 yr $146.90 (5-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $256.93 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $459.18 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

CPK vs the Top Picks average

PillarCPKBook avgDiff
Quality0.500.84-0.34
Growth0.850.84in line
Value0.410.78-0.37

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-12.1 over 47 daily scores
From 68.0 (Jun 22) → 55.9 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.1%
90-day change+0.2%
Forward EPS estimate$7.33

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect CPK to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
14
Position size
$1,878
3.8% of portfolio
Stop price
$100.60
25% below $134.13
$ at risk if stopped
$469.45
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK): score, valuation & FAQ

Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) is a Utilities - Regulated Gas company that scores 55.9 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A-) and Rev (B+), while FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is CPK a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores CPK 55.9 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by D/E (A-) and Rev (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Chesapeake Utilities Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does CPK score 55.9 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). CPK earns its highest marks on D/E (A-) and Rev (B+), and is held back by FCF (F). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is CPK overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for CPK — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in CPK?

Free cash flow is negative (-$194m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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