Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

AMTM analysis

Amentum Holdings, Inc.Specialty Business Services. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

AMTM
Amentum Holdings, Inc. · Specialty Business Services
FCF$439mC
Rev+71.6%A
D/E0.83B
P/E35.6xC+
PEG0.50A
72Score
$21.34$5.2B
1Y Target$32.33Analyst consensus · 12 analysts
5Y Target$47.34Compound horizon
10Y Target$70.22Long-dated conviction
FCF$439mTTM
C
FCF $439m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+71.6%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +71.6% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E0.83
B
D/E 0.83 — near the Industrials debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E35.6x
C+
P/E 35.6 — above the Industrials median (≈75th pctile)
PEG0.50proxy
A
PEG 0.50 — exceptional; paying well under fair value for growth · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 72
Quality0.43
Growth1.00
Value0.90
Why this score
  • Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
44% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value37% belowest. fair value ~$34
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability13% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC4.9% · C+return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Specialty Business Services · market cap $5.2b. Down 44% from 52-week high of $38.11 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +72% — in hypergrowth territory. PEG 0.50 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 12 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $32.33 (implying +52% upside).
Moat
Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong.
Risk
Down 44% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Trailing P/E 36x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates. Net margin 1.0% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Horizon
1-3 yr $32.33 (12-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $47.34 at ~17% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $70.22 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Trend
+10.7 over 14 daily scores
From 61.3 (Jun 22) → 72.0 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
93
Position size
$1,984
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$16.00
25% below $21.34
$ at risk if stopped
$496.04
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Amentum Holdings, Inc. (AMTM): score, valuation & FAQ

Amentum Holdings, Inc. (AMTM) is a Specialty Business Services company that scores 72 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A) and PEG (A). On valuation, AMTM sits about 37% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety).

Is AMTM a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores AMTM 72 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A) and PEG (A). A score is a quantitative screen of Amentum Holdings, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does AMTM score 72 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). AMTM earns its highest marks on Rev (A) and PEG (A). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is AMTM overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $21.34, AMTM sits about 37% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety). It trades at a 35.6x× P/E (graded C+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in AMTM?

Down 44% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Trailing P/E 36x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates. Net margin 1.0% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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