★
ABNB
Airbnb Inc · Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure
FCF$4.6bB
Rev+38.8%A
D/E0.24A-
P/E31.7xC+
PEG0.82B+
92Score
$132.351Y Target$142.94Near-term target
5Y Target$177.11Compound horizon
10Y Target$226.07Long-dated conviction
FCF$4.6bTTM · 03/26B
FCF $4.6b — solid, comfortably covers operations and capital return · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+38.8%TTM YoYA
Revenue +38.8% — hypergrowth, top decile · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E0.24totalA-
D/E 0.24 — conservative leverage, strong balance sheet · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/E31.7xC+
P/E 31.7 — elevated; requires sustained growth to justify
PEG0.82proxyB+
PEG 0.82 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0) · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure · market cap $79.8b. 10% off the 52-week high of $147.25. Revenue growing +39% — in hypergrowth territory. PEG 0.82 — paying under fair value for the growth rate.
Moat
Net margin 20% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 31% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. $79.8b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
Trailing P/E 32x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
Horizon
1-3 yr $142.94 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $177.11 at ~6% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $226.07 if the moat survives secular pressure.
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Position sizing · ABNB
Shares to buy
15
Position size
$1,985
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$99.26
25% below $132.35
$ at risk
$500.00
1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.