Bull Rankings model

W. P. Carey Inc. (WPC) stock analysis

REIT - Diversified. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
WPC
W. P. Carey Inc. · REIT - Diversified
77.8REIT strength
$63.73Oct 13 close$14.5B
1Y Target$78.14Analyst consensus · 14 analysts
5Y Target$114.41Compound horizon
10Y Target$169.72Long-dated conviction
Yield6.0%
A-
Yield 6.0% — strong income · REITs are valued on FFO / AFFO, which our data source doesn't provide — we grade income, growth, and sector-relative leverage instead.
Rev+8.4%
B
Revenue +8.4% — at or above S&P median
D/E1.02
B
D/E 1.02 — near the Real Estate debt median (≈60th pctile)

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Financial strength · 77.8 / 100
Profitability70.7
Value (P/B)65.7
Income96.7

A peer-relative read for reits on profitability (ROE, depreciation-adjusted), valuation, and covered income — the quality-growth (FCF/ROIC) screen doesn't apply to balance-sheet businesses. Not comparable to the 0–100 quality-growth score shown on other stocks.

Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
17% off the 12-month high

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
REIT - Diversified · market cap $14.5b. 17% off the 52-week high of $77.22. 14 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $78.14 (implying +23% upside).
Moat
Net margin 36% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma.
Risk
Dividend payout 127% of earnings on a 6.0% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut. ROE 8% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Horizon
1-3 yr $78.14 (14-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $114.41 at ~12% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $169.72 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.

Not enough history yet — the model records WPC's score after each daily run, and the chart appears once a few days have accumulated.

WPC at a glance

FINANCIAL STRENGTH · REITPROFITABILITY71VALUE66COVERED INCOME9777.8/100 on our peer scale — not the quality-growth score.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$63.7LOW $62.2HIGH $77.2Trading near its 52-week low ($62.2–$77.2).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock-6%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.0%
90-day change-9.1%
Forward EPS estimate$3.15

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect WPC to earn is materially lower (-9.1%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
31
Position size
$1,976
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$47.80
25% below $63.73
$ at risk if stopped
$493.91
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

W. P. Carey Inc. (WPC): score, valuation & FAQ

W. P. Carey Inc. (WPC) is a REIT - Diversified company. As a bank, insurer or REIT it runs on a different financial model from the rest of the market, so Bull Rankings grades it on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and cash-flow coverage — rather than the 0–100 quality-growth score used elsewhere. The read below is a transparent screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Yield (A-).

Is WPC a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings grades WPC on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout and cash-flow coverage — rather than a single quality-growth score. That is driven by Yield (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of W. P. Carey Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

How does Bull Rankings grade WPC?

As a bank, insurer or REIT, WPC isn't given a quality-growth score — signals like free cash flow, debt-to-equity and P/E don't translate cleanly to a balance-sheet business. Instead it's graded on a sector-appropriate card: price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and operating-cash-flow coverage, where it rates strongest on Yield (A-).

Is WPC overvalued or undervalued?

We don't publish a discounted-cash-flow value for WPC, and not because the business is unprofitable. For a lender, insurer or property trust, "free cash flow" measures balance-sheet growth rather than owner earnings — loan originations and repayments run through operating cash flow — so discounting it would produce a confident-looking number with nothing behind it. WPC is judged on book value, return on equity and income cover instead, which is what the financial-strength card shows.

What are the main risks of investing in WPC?

Dividend payout 127% of earnings on a 6.0% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut. ROE 8% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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