Bull Rankings model

American Assets Trust, Inc. (AAT) stock analysis

REIT - Diversified. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
AAT
American Assets Trust, Inc. · REIT - Diversified
75.8REIT strength
$21.68Oct 13 close$1.7B
1Y Target$24.93Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$36.50Compound horizon
10Y Target$54.15Long-dated conviction
Yield6.3%
A-
Yield 6.3% — strong income · REITs are valued on FFO / AFFO, which our data source doesn't provide — we grade income, growth, and sector-relative leverage instead.
Rev-4.7%
D+
Revenue -4.7% — shrinking; needs a catalyst to reverse
D/E1.62
C
D/E 1.62 — more levered than most Real Estate peers (≈90th pctile)

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Financial strength · 75.8 / 100
Profitability33.0
Value (P/B)82.5
Income98.6

A peer-relative read for reits on profitability (ROE, depreciation-adjusted), valuation, and covered income — the quality-growth (FCF/ROIC) screen doesn't apply to balance-sheet businesses. Not comparable to the 0–100 quality-growth score shown on other stocks.

Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
17% off the 12-month high

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
REIT - Diversified · market cap $1.7b. 17% off the 52-week high of $25.97.
Moat
Moat signals from the quantitative card are modest — profitability and capital efficiency are middle-of-pack. The thesis here depends on softer factors (switching costs, brand, distribution, regulatory protection) not captured by the quality-growth screen.
Risk
Dividend payout 469% of earnings on a 6.3% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut. Net margin 4.1% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. ROE 2% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Horizon
1-3 yr $24.93 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $36.50 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $54.15 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.

Not enough history yet — the model records AAT's score after each daily run, and the chart appears once a few days have accumulated.

AAT at a glance

FINANCIAL STRENGTH · REITPROFITABILITY33VALUE82COVERED INCOME9975.8/100 on our peer scale — not the quality-growth score.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$21.7LOW $17.7HIGH $26Trading at the 48th percentile of its 52-week range ($17.7–$26).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+12%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.0%
90-day change+0.0%
Forward EPS estimate$0.72

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect AAT to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
92
Position size
$1,995
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$16.26
25% below $21.68
$ at risk if stopped
$498.64
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

American Assets Trust, Inc. (AAT): score, valuation & FAQ

American Assets Trust, Inc. (AAT) is a REIT - Diversified company. As a bank, insurer or REIT it runs on a different financial model from the rest of the market, so Bull Rankings grades it on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and cash-flow coverage — rather than the 0–100 quality-growth score used elsewhere. The read below is a transparent screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Yield (A-), while Rev (D+) rate weaker.

Is AAT a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings grades AAT on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout and cash-flow coverage — rather than a single quality-growth score. That is driven by Yield (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of American Assets Trust, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

How does Bull Rankings grade AAT?

As a bank, insurer or REIT, AAT isn't given a quality-growth score — signals like free cash flow, debt-to-equity and P/E don't translate cleanly to a balance-sheet business. Instead it's graded on a sector-appropriate card: price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and operating-cash-flow coverage, where it rates strongest on Yield (A-) and weakest on Rev (D+).

Is AAT overvalued or undervalued?

We don't publish a discounted-cash-flow value for AAT, and not because the business is unprofitable. For a lender, insurer or property trust, "free cash flow" measures balance-sheet growth rather than owner earnings — loan originations and repayments run through operating cash flow — so discounting it would produce a confident-looking number with nothing behind it. AAT is judged on book value, return on equity and income cover instead, which is what the financial-strength card shows.

What are the main risks of investing in AAT?

Dividend payout 469% of earnings on a 6.3% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut. Net margin 4.1% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. ROE 2% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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