Bull Rankings model

EPR Properties (EPR) stock analysis

REIT - Specialty. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
EPR
EPR Properties · REIT - Specialty
80.8REIT strength
$54.80Oct 13 close$4.2B
1Y Target$64.68Analyst consensus · 11 analysts
5Y Target$94.70Compound horizon
10Y Target$140.48Long-dated conviction
Yield6.8%
A-
Yield 6.8% — strong income · REITs are valued on FFO / AFFO, which our data source doesn't provide — we grade income, growth, and sector-relative leverage instead.
Rev+5.0%
C+
Revenue +5.0% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E1.52
C+
D/E 1.52 — above the Real Estate debt median (≈75th pctile)

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Financial strength · 80.8 / 100
Profitability90.7
Value (P/B)60.9
Income96.4

A peer-relative read for reits on profitability (ROE, depreciation-adjusted), valuation, and covered income — the quality-growth (FCF/ROIC) screen doesn't apply to balance-sheet businesses. Not comparable to the 0–100 quality-growth score shown on other stocks.

Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
16% off the 12-month high

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
REIT - Specialty · market cap $4.2b. 16% off the 52-week high of $64.97. 11 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $64.68 (implying +18% upside).
Moat
Net margin 36% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 11% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere.
Risk
Dividend payout 115% of earnings on a 6.8% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut.
Horizon
1-3 yr $64.68 (11-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $94.70 at ~12% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $140.48 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.

Not enough history yet — the model records EPR's score after each daily run, and the chart appears once a few days have accumulated.

EPR at a glance

FINANCIAL STRENGTH · REITPROFITABILITY91VALUE61COVERED INCOME9680.8/100 on our peer scale — not the quality-growth score.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$54.8LOW $48.1HIGH $65Trading at the 40th percentile of its 52-week range ($48.1–$65).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+0%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.0%
90-day change+5.3%
Forward EPS estimate$3.18

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect EPR to earn is materially higher (+5.3%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
36
Position size
$1,973
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$41.10
25% below $54.80
$ at risk if stopped
$493.20
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

EPR Properties (EPR): score, valuation & FAQ

EPR Properties (EPR) is a REIT - Specialty company. As a bank, insurer or REIT it runs on a different financial model from the rest of the market, so Bull Rankings grades it on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and cash-flow coverage — rather than the 0–100 quality-growth score used elsewhere. The read below is a transparent screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Yield (A-).

Is EPR a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings grades EPR on a sector-appropriate card — price-to-book, dividend yield, payout and cash-flow coverage — rather than a single quality-growth score. That is driven by Yield (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of EPR Properties's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

How does Bull Rankings grade EPR?

As a bank, insurer or REIT, EPR isn't given a quality-growth score — signals like free cash flow, debt-to-equity and P/E don't translate cleanly to a balance-sheet business. Instead it's graded on a sector-appropriate card: price-to-book, dividend yield, payout ratio and operating-cash-flow coverage, where it rates strongest on Yield (A-).

Is EPR overvalued or undervalued?

We don't publish a discounted-cash-flow value for EPR, and not because the business is unprofitable. For a lender, insurer or property trust, "free cash flow" measures balance-sheet growth rather than owner earnings — loan originations and repayments run through operating cash flow — so discounting it would produce a confident-looking number with nothing behind it. EPR is judged on book value, return on equity and income cover instead, which is what the financial-strength card shows.

What are the main risks of investing in EPR?

Dividend payout 115% of earnings on a 6.8% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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