Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

WLFC analysis

Willis Lease Finance CorporationRental & Leasing Services. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

WLFC
Willis Lease Finance Corporation · Rental & Leasing Services
FCF-$281mF
Rev+26.2%A-
D/E2.99D
P/S2.3xB
PEG0.94B+
62.6Score
$73.38$1.8B
1Y Target$99.06Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$173.26Compound horizon
10Y Target$309.65Long-dated conviction
FCF-$281mTTM
F
FCF is negative (-$281m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names
Rev+26.2%TTM YoY
A-
Revenue +26.2% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%)
D/E2.99
D
D/E 2.99 — most levered decile in Industrials (≈95th pctile)
P/S2.3x
B
P/S 2.3x — near the Industrials median (≈60th pctile)
PEG0.94
B+
PEG 0.94 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 62.6
Quality0.44
Growth0.88
Value0.63
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
10% off the 12-month high
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability20% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC3.1% · Creturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Rental & Leasing Services · market cap $1.8b. 10% off the 52-week high of $81.54. Revenue growing +26% — in hypergrowth territory. PEG 0.94 — paying under fair value for the growth rate.
Moat
Net margin 16% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 18% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
D/E 2.99 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Free cash flow is negative (-$281m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk.
Horizon
1-3 yr $99.06 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $173.26 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $309.65 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

WLFC vs the Top Picks average

PillarWLFCBook avgDiff
Quality0.440.83-0.38
Growth0.880.91-0.03
Value0.630.75-0.12

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+7.0 over 34 daily scores
From 55.6 (Jun 22) → 62.6 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
27
Position size
$1,981
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$55.03
25% below $73.38
$ at risk if stopped
$495.31
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Willis Lease Finance Corporation (WLFC): score, valuation & FAQ

Willis Lease Finance Corporation (WLFC) is a Rental & Leasing Services company that scores 62.6 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A-) and PEG (B+), while D/E (D) and FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is WLFC a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores WLFC 62.6 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (A-) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Willis Lease Finance Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does WLFC score 62.6 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). WLFC earns its highest marks on Rev (A-) and PEG (B+), and is held back by D/E (D) and FCF (F). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is WLFC overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for WLFC — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in WLFC?

D/E 2.99 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Free cash flow is negative (-$281m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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