PROG Holdings, Inc. — Rental & Leasing Services. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
PRG
PROG Holdings, Inc. · Rental & Leasing Services
FCF$319mC
Rev+0.4%C
D/E1.10C+
P/E14.8xA-
PEG0.93B+
57.9Score
$45.81$1.8B
1Y Target$53.43Analyst consensus · 7 analysts
5Y Target$67.45Compound horizon
10Y Target$86.51Long-dated conviction
FCF$319mTTMC
FCF $319m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+0.4%FY YoYC
Revenue +0.4% — flat, mature phase or headwinds present · Computed from last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E1.10C+
D/E 1.10 — above the Industrials debt median (≈75th pctile)
P/E14.8xA-
P/E 14.8 — cheaper than most Industrials peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG0.93B+
PEG 0.93 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 57.9
Quality0.65
Growth0.45
Value0.66
Why this score
Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
4% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value50% belowest. fair value ~$92
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~-9% a year for the next decade — vs the ~14% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
ROIC10.3% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Rental & Leasing Services · market cap $1.8b. 4% off the 52-week high of $47.73. PEG 0.93 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 7 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $53.43 (implying +17% upside).
Moat
ROE 18% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong.
Risk
Beta 1.79 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Horizon
1-3 yr $53.43 (7-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $67.45 at ~8% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $86.51 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
PRG vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
PRG
Book avg
Diff
Quality
0.65
0.83
-0.18
Growth
0.45
0.91
-0.46
Value
0.66
0.75
-0.08
Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.
Score history · PRG
Trend
-4.0 over 34 daily scores
From 61.9 (Jun 22) → 57.9 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · PRG
$
%
%
Shares to buy
43
Position size
$1,970
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$34.36
25% below $45.81
$ at risk if stopped
$492.46
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
PROG Holdings, Inc. (PRG): score, valuation & FAQ
PROG Holdings, Inc. (PRG) is a Rental & Leasing Services company that scores 57.9 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-) and PEG (B+). On valuation, PRG sits about 50% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -9% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.
Is PRG a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores PRG 57.9 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by P/E (A-) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of PROG Holdings, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does PRG score 57.9 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). PRG earns its highest marks on P/E (A-) and PEG (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is PRG overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $45.81, PRG sits about 50% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -9% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 14.8x× P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in PRG?
Beta 1.79 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.