Oil & Gas Integrated. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
TTE
TotalEnergies SE · Oil & Gas Integrated
55.5Score
$86.11Oct 9 close$190.1B
1Y Target$98.55Analyst consensus · 10 analysts
5Y Target$124.42Compound horizon
10Y Target$159.56Long-dated conviction
FCF$16.2bTTM · 06/26A-
FCF $16.2b — top-quartile, exceptional for any sector · Trailing twelve months to 06/26 (operating cash flow − capex).
Rev-6.2%FY YoYD
Revenue -6.2% — meaningful contraction · Latest fiscal year vs the prior one, from SEC filings — a trailing-twelve-month comparison couldn't be assembled from this company's filings.
D/E0.48B
D/E 0.48 — near the Energy debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E10.8xB+
P/E 10.8 — below the Energy median (≈40th pctile)
PEG0.65A-
PEG 0.65 — strong; the growth comes cheap
Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology
Quality-growth score · 55.5
Quality81.8
Growth42.6
Value49.1
Why this score
Buying back stock
Raising its dividend
Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
9% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value6% belowest. fair value ~$92
What the price assumes: free cash flow shrinking about 2% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~-4% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
Gross profitability29% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC22.4% · Areturn on invested capital — leads the quality score
Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards
Why now
Oil & Gas Integrated · market cap $190.1b. 9% off the 52-week high of $94.17. Revenue -6% — in contraction; any catalyst that reverses this triggers re-rating. PEG 0.65 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 10 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $98.55 (implying +14% upside).
Moat
ROE 11% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. FCF converts 121% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash. $190.1b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
Revenue contracting -6% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.
Horizon
1-3 yr $98.55 (10-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $124.42 at ~8% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $159.56 if the moat survives secular pressure.
TTE vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
TTE
Book avg
Diff
Quality
82
83
in line
Growth
43
89
-46
Value
49
76
-27
Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.
Score history · TTE
Trend
-10.4 over 82 daily scores
From 65.9 (Jun 22) → 55.5 (now)
One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.
TTE at a glance
Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.
Analyst estimate revisions
30-day change
+5.8%
90-day change
+13.3%
Forward EPS estimate
$10.75
Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect TTE to earn is materially higher (+13.3%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.
Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →
Position sizing · TTE
$
%
%
Shares to buy
23
Position size
$1,981
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$64.58
25% below $86.11
$ at risk if stopped
$495.13
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.
TotalEnergies SE (TTE): score, valuation & FAQ
TotalEnergies SE (TTE) is an Oil & Gas Integrated company that scores 55.5 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are FCF (A-), PEG (A-) and P/E (B+), while Rev (D) rate weaker. On valuation, TTE sits about 6% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking about 2% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten.
Is TTE a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores TTE 55.5 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by FCF (A-), PEG (A-) and P/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of TotalEnergies SE's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does TTE score 55.5 on Bull Rankings?
The score leans on quality at 81.8 out of 100, with growth the weakest pillar at 42.6 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. TTE earns its highest marks on FCF (A-), PEG (A-) and P/E (B+), and is held back by Rev (D). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so TTE is measured against Oil & Gas Integrated peers, not against the market as a whole.
Is TTE overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $86.11, TTE sits about 6% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking about 2% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 10.8x P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in TTE?
Revenue contracting -6% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.