TotalEnergies SE — Oil & Gas Integrated. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
TTE
TotalEnergies SE · Oil & Gas Integrated
FCF$16.2bA-
Rev-6.2%D
D/E0.48B
P/E11.0xB+
PEG0.72A-
62Score
$87.86$195.1B
1Y Target$95.00Analyst consensus · 10 analysts
5Y Target$119.94Compound horizon
10Y Target$153.81Long-dated conviction
FCF$16.2bTTM · 06/26A-
FCF $16.2b — top-quartile, exceptional for any sector · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 06/26).
Rev-6.2%TTM YoYD
Revenue -6.2% — meaningful contraction
D/E0.48B
D/E 0.48 — near the Energy debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E11.0xB+
P/E 11.0 — below the Energy median (≈40th pctile)
PEG0.72A-
PEG 0.72 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 62
Quality0.81
Growth0.50
Value0.59
Why this score
Buying back stock
Raising its dividend
Durable high returns
Revenue shrinking
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
7% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value1% belowest. fair value ~$89
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~-2% a year for the next decade — vs the ~-5% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability29% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC22.4% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Oil & Gas Integrated · market cap $195.1b. 7% off the 52-week high of $94.17. Revenue -6% — in contraction; any catalyst that reverses this triggers re-rating. PEG 0.72 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 10 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $95.00 (implying +8% upside).
Moat
ROE 11% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. FCF converts 121% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined. $195.1b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
Revenue contracting -6% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.
Horizon
1-3 yr $95.00 (10-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $119.94 at ~6% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $153.81 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
TTE vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
TTE
Book avg
Diff
Quality
0.81
0.82
in line
Growth
0.50
0.90
-0.40
Value
0.59
0.75
-0.16
Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.
Score history · TTE
Trend
-3.9 over 32 daily scores
From 65.9 (Jun 22) → 62.0 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · TTE
$
%
%
Shares to buy
22
Position size
$1,933
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$65.89
25% below $87.86
$ at risk if stopped
$483.23
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
TotalEnergies SE (TTE): score, valuation & FAQ
TotalEnergies SE (TTE) is a Oil & Gas Integrated company that scores 62 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are FCF (A-), PEG (A-) and P/E (B+), while Rev (D) rate weaker. On valuation, TTE sits close to our DCF fair-value estimate (within a few percent) — the current price implies roughly -2% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.
Is TTE a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores TTE 62 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by FCF (A-), PEG (A-) and P/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of TotalEnergies SE's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does TTE score 62 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). TTE earns its highest marks on FCF (A-), PEG (A-) and P/E (B+), and is held back by Rev (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is TTE overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $87.86, TTE sits close to our DCF fair-value estimate (within a few percent) — the current price implies roughly -2% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 11.0x× P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in TTE?
Revenue contracting -6% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.