★
STGW
Stagwell Inc · Media
FCF$274mC
Rev+4.9%C+
D/E1.82C
P/E84.7xD
PEG17.27D
65Score
$6.611Y Target$7.60Near-term target
5Y Target$10.65Compound horizon
10Y Target$15.65Long-dated conviction
FCF$274mTTM · 03/26C
FCF $274m — modest; watch for margin expansion · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+4.9%TTM YoYC+
Revenue +4.9% — steady but below market-beating range · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E1.82totalC
D/E 1.82 — elevated leverage, limits flexibility · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/E84.7xD
P/E 84.7 — extreme multiple; extraordinary growth required
PEG17.27proxyD
PEG 17.27 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Media · market cap $1.6b. 12% off the 52-week high of $7.52.
Moat
Moat signals from the quantitative card are modest — profitability and capital efficiency are middle-of-pack. The thesis here depends on softer factors (switching costs, brand, distribution, regulatory protection) not captured by the 7-grade screen.
Risk
Trailing P/E 84.7x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Net margin 0.6% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. ROE 3% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Horizon
1-3 yr $7.60 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $10.65 at ~10% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $15.65 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Position sizing · STGW
Shares to buy
302
Position size
$1,996
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$4.96
25% below $6.61
$ at risk
$500.00
1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.