Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

TTD analysis

The Trade Desk, Inc.Advertising Agencies. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

TTD
The Trade Desk, Inc. · Advertising Agencies
FCF$842mC+
Rev+15.5%B+
D/E0.17A-
P/E22.5xB
PEG0.93B+
72Score
$18.94$8.9B
1Y Target$24.32Analyst consensus · 30 analysts
5Y Target$30.70Compound horizon
10Y Target$39.38Long-dated conviction
FCF$842mTTM
C+
FCF $842m — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+15.5%TTM YoY
B+
Revenue +15.5% — above sector median, healthy trajectory
D/E0.17
A-
D/E 0.17 — less debt than most Communication Services peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E22.5x
B
P/E 22.5 — near the Communication Services median (≈60th pctile)
PEG0.93
B+
PEG 0.93 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 72
Quality0.91
Growth0.89
Value0.64
Why this score
  • Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
79% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value44% belowest. fair value ~$34
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~-4% a year for the next decade — vs the ~16% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability40% · A-gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC19.4% · A-return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Advertising Agencies · market cap $8.9b. Down 79% from 52-week high of $91.45 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +16%, comfortably above the S&P median. PEG 0.93 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 30 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $24.32 (implying +28% upside).
Moat
Net margin 15% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 18% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. FCF converts 195% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Down 79% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Ad-spending cyclicality — marketing budgets are among the first cut in any recession and the last restored; the business levers higher in the bull but lower in the bear than the headline economy.
Horizon
1-3 yr $24.32 (30-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $30.70 at ~10% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $39.38 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Trend
0.0 over 2 daily scores
From 72.0 (Jul 14) → 72.0 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
105
Position size
$1,989
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$14.21
25% below $18.94
$ at risk if stopped
$497.18
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD): score, valuation & FAQ

The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) is a Advertising Agencies company that scores 72 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A-), Rev (B+) and PEG (B+). On valuation, TTD sits about 44% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -4% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is TTD a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores TTD 72 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by D/E (A-), Rev (B+) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of The Trade Desk, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does TTD score 72 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). TTD earns its highest marks on D/E (A-), Rev (B+) and PEG (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is TTD overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $18.94, TTD sits about 44% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -4% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 22.5x× P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in TTD?

Down 79% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Ad-spending cyclicality — marketing budgets are among the first cut in any recession and the last restored; the business levers higher in the bull but lower in the bear than the headline economy.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

More Communication Services stocks by score

All Communication Services rankings →

Analyze another ticker →