Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

RIG analysis

Transocean Ltd.Oil & Gas Drilling. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

RIG
Transocean Ltd. · Oil & Gas Drilling
FCF$796mC+
Rev+12.5%B+
D/E0.64B
P/S1.4xB+
PEG1.17B+
46.4Score
$5.14$5.7B
1Y Target$6.30Analyst consensus · 11 analysts
5Y Target$11.03Compound horizon
10Y Target$27.96Long-dated conviction
FCF$796mTTM
C+
FCF $796m — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+12.5%TTM YoY
B+
Revenue +12.5% — above sector median, healthy trajectory
D/E0.64
B
D/E 0.64 — near the Energy debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/S1.4x
B+
P/S 1.4x — below the Energy median (≈40th pctile)
PEG1.17
B+
PEG 1.17 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 46.4
Quality0.30
Growth0.50
Value0.66
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
  • Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
33% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value62% belowest. fair value ~$14
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability12% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC-10.3% · Freturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Oil & Gas Drilling · market cap $5.7b. Down 33% from 52-week high of $7.66 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +13%, comfortably above the S&P median. 11 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $6.30 (implying +23% upside).
Moat
Turnaround / out-of-favor name — GAAP-unprofitable for now, so the durability case is forward-looking: it rests on a recovery (margin normalization, a cyclical upturn or restructuring) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than on current reported results.
Risk
Currently unprofitable (margin -66.8%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 33% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. ROE -34% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Horizon
1-3 yr $6.30 (11-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $11.03 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $27.96 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Shares to buy
389
Position size
$1,999
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$3.85
25% below $5.14
$ at risk if stopped
$499.86
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Transocean Ltd. (RIG): score, valuation & FAQ

Transocean Ltd. (RIG) is a Oil & Gas Drilling company that scores 46.4 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (B+), P/S (B+) and PEG (B+). On valuation, RIG sits about 62% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety).

Is RIG a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores RIG 46.4 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by Rev (B+), P/S (B+) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Transocean Ltd.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does RIG score 46.4 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). RIG earns its highest marks on Rev (B+), P/S (B+) and PEG (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is RIG overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $5.14, RIG sits about 62% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in RIG?

Currently unprofitable (margin -66.8%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 33% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. ROE -34% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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