Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

RDDT analysis

Reddit, Inc.Internet Content & Information. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

RDDT
Reddit, Inc. · Internet Content & Information
FCF$1.0bC+
Rev+66.6%A
D/E0.01A
P/E36.9xC+
PEG1.05B+
67.4Score
$158.72$30.5B
1Y Target$216.35Analyst consensus · 33 analysts
5Y Target$316.76Compound horizon
10Y Target$469.89Long-dated conviction
FCF$1.0bTTM
C+
FCF $1.0b — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+66.6%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +66.6% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E0.01
A
D/E 0.01 — least levered decile in Communication Services (≈10th pctile)
P/E36.9x
C+
P/E 36.9 — above the Communication Services median (≈75th pctile)
PEG1.05
B+
PEG 1.05 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 67.4
Quality0.80
Growth1.00
Value0.38
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
  • Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
44% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value123% aboveest. fair value ~$71
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~38% a year for the next decade — vs the ~25% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability70% · Agross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC18.9% · A-return on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Internet Content & Information · market cap $30.5b. Down 44% from 52-week high of $282.95 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +67% — in hypergrowth territory. 33 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $216.35 (implying +36% upside).
Moat
Net margin 31% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 27% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 117% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Down 44% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 2.03 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Trailing P/E 37x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
Horizon
1-3 yr $216.35 (33-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $316.76 at ~15% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $469.89 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

RDDT vs the Top Picks average

PillarRDDTBook avgDiff
Quality0.800.83-0.03
Growth1.000.91+0.09
Value0.380.76-0.38

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 82.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+2.6 over 37 daily scores
From 64.8 (Jun 22) → 67.4 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
12
Position size
$1,905
3.8% of portfolio
Stop price
$119.04
25% below $158.72
$ at risk if stopped
$476.16
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Reddit, Inc. (RDDT): score, valuation & FAQ

Reddit, Inc. (RDDT) is a Internet Content & Information company that scores 67.4 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), D/E (A) and PEG (B+). On valuation, RDDT sits about 123% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 38% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is RDDT a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores RDDT 67.4 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A), D/E (A) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Reddit, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does RDDT score 67.4 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). RDDT earns its highest marks on Rev (A), D/E (A) and PEG (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is RDDT overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $158.72, RDDT sits about 123% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 38% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 36.9x× P/E (graded C+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in RDDT?

Down 44% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 2.03 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Trailing P/E 37x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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