Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

RBLX analysis

Roblox CorporationElectronic Gaming & Multimedia. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

RBLX
Roblox Corporation · Electronic Gaming & Multimedia
FCF$1.6bC+
Rev+41.3%A
D/E
P/S4.7xC+
PEG8.18D
37.5Score
$37.05$26.5B
1Y Target$51.03Analyst consensus · 35 analysts
5Y Target$89.25Compound horizon
10Y Target$159.51Long-dated conviction
FCF$1.6bTTM
C+
FCF $1.6b — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+41.3%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +41.3% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E
D/E data unavailable — neutral default
P/S4.7x
C+
P/S 4.7x — above the Communication Services median (≈75th pctile)
PEG8.18
D
PEG 8.18 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 37.5
Quality0.31
Growth1.00
Value0.17
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
74% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value4% belowest. fair value ~$38
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~13% a year for the next decade — vs the ~24% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability46% · A-gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC-80.2% · Freturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · market cap $26.5b. Down 74% from 52-week high of $142.00 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +41% — in hypergrowth territory. 35 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $51.03 (implying +38% upside).
Moat
Turnaround / out-of-favor name — GAAP-unprofitable for now, so the durability case is forward-looking: it rests on a recovery (margin normalization, a cyclical upturn or restructuring) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than on current reported results.
Risk
Currently unprofitable (margin -17.7%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 74% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.46 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Horizon
1-3 yr $51.03 (35-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $89.25 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $159.51 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

RBLX vs the Top Picks average

PillarRBLXBook avgDiff
Quality0.310.83-0.52
Growth1.000.91+0.09
Value0.170.76-0.59

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 82.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+4.0 over 37 daily scores
From 33.5 (Jun 22) → 37.5 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
53
Position size
$1,964
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$27.79
25% below $37.05
$ at risk if stopped
$490.91
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Roblox Corporation (RBLX): score, valuation & FAQ

Roblox Corporation (RBLX) is a Electronic Gaming & Multimedia company that scores 37.5 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a weak reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), while PEG (D) rate weaker. On valuation, RBLX sits about 4% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 13% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is RBLX a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores RBLX 37.5 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a weak reading. That is driven by Rev (A). A score is a quantitative screen of Roblox Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does RBLX score 37.5 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). RBLX earns its highest marks on Rev (A), and is held back by PEG (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is RBLX overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $37.05, RBLX sits about 4% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 13% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in RBLX?

Currently unprofitable (margin -17.7%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 74% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.46 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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