FTI Consulting, Inc. — Consulting Services. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
FCN
FTI Consulting, Inc. · Consulting Services
FCF$359mC
Rev+7.1%B
D/E0.95C+
P/E18.9xA-
PEG0.96B+
75.1Score
$155.74$4.3B
1Y Target$168.20Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$212.35Compound horizon
10Y Target$272.33Long-dated conviction
FCF$359mTTMC
FCF $359m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+7.1%TTM YoYB
Revenue +7.1% — at or above S&P median
D/E0.95C+
D/E 0.95 — above the Industrials debt median (≈75th pctile)
P/E18.9xA-
P/E 18.9 — cheaper than most Industrials peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG0.96B+
PEG 0.96 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 75.1
Quality68.6
Growth74.6
Value82.7
Why this score
Buying back stock
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
18% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value41% belowest. fair value ~$262
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~-2% a year for the next decade — vs the ~18% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability35% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC12.8% · B+return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.
Why now
The bull case hinges on FTI Consulting’s Forensic and Litigation segment winning the escalating cyber‑risk and dispute‑advisory market, where its data‑analytics and cybersecurity services command premium fees. The business is delivering 7.1% revenue growth YoY, a healthy 6.4% profit margin, and generates $359 m of free cash flow – all while trading at a modest PE of 19.1x versus peers. Our Bull Rankings model gives FCN a 75.7/100 quality‑growth score, with Value as the strongest pillar, meaning the stock is already priced for a modest upside that the growth engine can sustain.
Moat
FTI’s moat lies in its deep‑rooted forensic and litigation expertise, which creates high switching costs for corporate clients facing complex investigations and regulatory scrutiny. The segment’s proprietary data‑analytics platform and seasoned investigative teams enable pricing power that drives a 19% ROE, far above the sector average, and is not easily replicated by generic consulting firms.
Risk
The bear case centers on the reverse DCF’s implied -2% annual free‑cash‑flow growth, a stark contrast to the 7.1% revenue expansion, suggesting the market is over‑optimistic about future cash generation. Coupled with a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 0.95 and a PE that, while reasonable, could compress if margin growth stalls, any slowdown in high‑margin forensic work would quickly erode the valuation. A breach of the 6.4% margin or a rise in leverage above 1.0 would confirm the downside.
Horizon
1-3 yr $168.20 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $212.35 at ~6% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $272.33 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
FCN vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
FCN
Book avg
Diff
Quality
0.69
0.84
-0.15
Growth
0.75
0.84
-0.09
Value
0.83
0.78
+0.04
Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.
Score history · FCN
Trend
+3.2 over 45 daily scores
From 71.9 (Jun 22) → 75.1 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Analyst estimate revisions
30-day change
-2.1%
90-day change
-0.8%
Forward EPS estimate
$10.93
Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect FCN to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.
A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →
Position sizing · FCN
$
%
%
Shares to buy
12
Position size
$1,869
3.7% of portfolio
Stop price
$116.81
25% below $155.74
$ at risk if stopped
$467.22
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
FTI Consulting, Inc. (FCN): score, valuation & FAQ
FTI Consulting, Inc. (FCN) is a Consulting Services company that scores 75.1 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-) and PEG (B+). On valuation, FCN sits about 41% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -2% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.
Is FCN a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores FCN 75.1 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by P/E (A-) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of FTI Consulting, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does FCN score 75.1 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). FCN earns its highest marks on P/E (A-) and PEG (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is FCN overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $155.74, FCN sits about 41% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -2% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 18.9x P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in FCN?
The bear case centers on the reverse DCF’s implied -2% annual free‑cash‑flow growth, a stark contrast to the 7.1% revenue expansion, suggesting the market is over‑optimistic about future cash generation. Coupled with a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 0.95 and a PE that, while reasonable, could compress if margin growth stalls, any slowdown in high‑margin forensic work would quickly erode the valuation. A breach of the 6.4% margin or a rise in leverage above 1.0 would confirm the downside.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.