Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

PEG analysis

Public Service Enterprise Group IncorporatedUtilities - Regulated Electric. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

PEG
Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated · Utilities - Regulated Electric
FCF$276mC
Rev+12.7%B+
D/E1.42B
P/E18.1xB+
PEG3.74D
53.1Score
$72.61$36.2B
1Y Target$85.58Analyst consensus · 18 analysts
5Y Target$125.30Compound horizon
10Y Target$185.88Long-dated conviction
FCF$276mTTM
C
FCF $276m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+12.7%TTM YoY
B+
Revenue +12.7% — above sector median, healthy trajectory
D/E1.42
B
D/E 1.42 — near the Utilities debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E18.1x
B+
P/E 18.1 — below the Utilities median (≈40th pctile)
PEG3.74
D
PEG 3.74 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 53.1
Quality57.6
Growth77.3
Value33.7
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
17% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value412% aboveest. fair value ~$14
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~47% a year for the next decade — vs the ~7% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability16% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC5.6% · C+return on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Utilities - Regulated Electric · market cap $36.2b. 17% off the 52-week high of $87.63. Revenue growing +13%, comfortably above the S&P median. 18 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $85.58 (implying +18% upside).
Moat
Net margin 16% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 12% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
Horizon
1-3 yr $85.58 (18-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $125.30 at ~12% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $185.88 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

PEG vs the Top Picks average

PillarPEGBook avgDiff
Quality0.580.84-0.26
Growth0.770.84-0.07
Value0.340.78-0.45

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-0.6 over 47 daily scores
From 53.7 (Jun 22) → 53.1 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-0.3%
90-day change-0.5%
Forward EPS estimate$4.67

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect PEG to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
27
Position size
$1,960
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$54.46
25% below $72.61
$ at risk if stopped
$490.12
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated (PEG): score, valuation & FAQ

Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated (PEG) is a Utilities - Regulated Electric company that scores 53.1 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (B+) and P/E (B+), while PEG (D) rate weaker. On valuation, PEG sits about 412% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 47% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is PEG a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores PEG 53.1 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (B+) and P/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does PEG score 53.1 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). PEG earns its highest marks on Rev (B+) and P/E (B+), and is held back by PEG (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is PEG overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $72.61, PEG sits about 412% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 47% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 18.1x P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in PEG?

Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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