Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated (PEG) stock analysis
Utilities - Regulated Electric. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
PEG
Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated · Utilities - Regulated Electric
61.6Score
$72.28Oct 9 close$36.0B
1Y Target$84.25Analyst consensus · 18 analysts
5Y Target$123.35Compound horizon
10Y Target$182.98Long-dated conviction
FCF$276mTTM · 06/26C
FCF $276m — modest; watch for margin expansion · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 06/26.
Rev+12.7%TTM YoYB+
Revenue +12.7% — above sector median, healthy trajectory · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E1.42B
D/E 1.42 — near the Utilities debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E18.0xB+
P/E 18.0 — below the Utilities median (≈40th pctile)
PEG3.40D
PEG 3.40 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios
Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology
Quality-growth score · 61.6
Quality56.7
Growth69.2
Value59.7
Why this score
Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
18% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value409% aboveest. fair value ~$14
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 47% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~7% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
Gross profitability16% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC5.6% · C+return on invested capital — leads the quality score
Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards
Why now
Utilities - Regulated Electric · market cap $36.0b. 18% off the 52-week high of $87.63. Revenue growing +13%, comfortably above the S&P median. 18 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $84.25 (implying +17% upside).
Moat
Net margin 16% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 12% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
Horizon
1-3 yr $84.25 (18-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $123.35 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $182.98 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
PEG vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
PEG
Book avg
Diff
Quality
57
83
-26
Growth
69
89
-20
Value
60
76
-16
Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.
Score history · PEG
Trend
+7.9 over 82 daily scores
From 53.7 (Jun 22) → 61.6 (now)
One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.
PEG at a glance
Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.
Analyst estimate revisions
30-day change
-0.0%
90-day change
-0.5%
Forward EPS estimate
$4.67
Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect PEG to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.
Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →
Position sizing · PEG
$
%
%
Shares to buy
27
Position size
$1,952
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$54.21
25% below $72.28
$ at risk if stopped
$487.89
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.
Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated (PEG): score, valuation & FAQ
Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated (PEG) is a Utilities - Regulated Electric company that scores 61.6 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are Rev (B+) and P/E (B+), while PEG (D) rate weaker. On valuation, PEG sits about 409% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 47% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten.
Is PEG a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores PEG 61.6 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (B+) and P/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does PEG score 61.6 on Bull Rankings?
The score leans on growth at 69.2 out of 100, with quality the weakest pillar at 56.7 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. PEG earns its highest marks on Rev (B+) and P/E (B+), and is held back by PEG (D). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so PEG is measured against Utilities - Regulated Electric peers, not against the market as a whole.
Is PEG overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $72.28, PEG sits about 409% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 47% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at an 18.0x P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in PEG?
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.