Bull Rankings model

PG&E Corporation (PCG) stock analysis

Utilities - Regulated Electric. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
PCG
PG&E Corporation · Utilities - Regulated Electric
53.3Score
$13.13Oct 9 close$39.4B
1Y Target$18.81Analyst consensus · 16 analysts
5Y Target$32.90Compound horizon
10Y Target$58.80Long-dated conviction
FCF-$4.3bTTM · 06/26
F
FCF is negative (-$4.3b) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 06/26.
Rev+5.7%TTM YoY
C+
Revenue +5.7% — steady but below market-beating range · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E1.89
C
D/E 1.89 — more levered than most Utilities peers (≈90th pctile)
P/S*1.5x
A-
P/S 1.5x — cheaper than most Utilities peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG0.53
A-
PEG 0.53 — strong; the growth comes cheap

* P/S replaces P/E — no positive earnings to divide by

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 53.3
Quality43.2
Growth59.7
Value58.9
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
31% off the 12-month high
Quality signals
ROIC4.2% · C+return on invested capital — leads the quality score

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Utilities - Regulated Electric · market cap $39.4b. Down 31% from 52-week high of $19.16 — deep drawdown territory. PEG 0.53 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 16 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $18.81 (implying +43% upside).
Moat
Net margin 12% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$4.3b) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Down 31% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $18.81 (16-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $32.90 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $58.80 — return distribution heavily skewed.

PCG vs the Top Picks average

PillarPCGBook avgDiff
Quality4383-40
Growth6089-29
Value5976-17

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
-4.9 over 82 daily scores
From 58.2 (Jun 22) → 53.3 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

PCG at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD53.3/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY43.2GROWTH59.7VALUE58.9
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$13.1LOW $11.8HIGH $19.2Trading at the 18th percentile of its 52-week range ($11.8–$19.2).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock-20%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100PCG 53.3Top 40% of 1,709 companies on the quality-growth score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.0%
90-day change-0.1%
Forward EPS estimate$1.80

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect PCG to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
152
Position size
$1,996
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$9.85
25% below $13.13
$ at risk if stopped
$498.94
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

PG&E Corporation (PCG): score, valuation & FAQ

PG&E Corporation (PCG) is a Utilities - Regulated Electric company that scores 53.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/S (A-) and PEG (A-), while FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is PCG a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores PCG 53.3 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by P/S (A-) and PEG (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of PG&E Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does PCG score 53.3 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on growth at 59.7 out of 100, with quality the weakest pillar at 43.2 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. PCG earns its highest marks on P/S (A-) and PEG (A-), and is held back by FCF (F). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so PCG is measured against Utilities - Regulated Electric peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is PCG overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for PCG — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in PCG?

Free cash flow is negative (-$4.3b) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Down 31% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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