Bull Rankings model

Ormat Technologies, Inc. (ORA) stock analysis

Utilities - Renewable. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
ORA
Ormat Technologies, Inc. · Utilities - Renewable
50.6Score
$88.92Oct 9 close$5.5B
1Y Target$126.33Analyst consensus · 12 analysts
5Y Target$220.96Compound horizon
10Y Target$394.89Long-dated conviction
FCF-$265mTTM · 06/26
F
FCF is negative (-$265m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 06/26.
Rev+31.1%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +31.1% — hypergrowth, top decile · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E1.24
B+
D/E 1.24 — below the Utilities debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/S*4.6x
D
P/S 4.6x — most expensive decile in Utilities (≈95th pctile)
PEG3.27
D
PEG 3.27 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios

* P/S replaces P/E — no positive earnings to divide by

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 50.6
Quality34.5
Growth75.1
Value50.0
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
39% off the 12-month high
Quality signals
Gross profitability5% · Cgross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC2.9% · Creturn on invested capital — leads the quality score

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Utilities - Renewable · market cap $5.5b. Down 39% from 52-week high of $146.39 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +31% — in hypergrowth territory. 12 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $126.33 (implying +42% upside).
Moat
Higher-variance name — the moat signals on the quantitative card are modest, so the durability case rests on execution (turning current growth into durable earnings power) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than an entrenched competitive position.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$265m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Down 39% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Trailing P/E 43x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
Horizon
1-3 yr $126.33 (12-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $220.96 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $394.89 — return distribution heavily skewed.

ORA vs the Top Picks average

PillarORABook avgDiff
Quality3583-48
Growth7589-14
Value5076-26

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
+18.6 over 82 daily scores
From 32.0 (Jun 22) → 50.6 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

ORA at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD50.6/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY34.5GROWTH75.1VALUE50.0
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$88.9LOW $87.1HIGH $146Trading near its 52-week low ($87.1–$146).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock-15%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100ORA 50.6Top 46% of 1,709 companies on the quality-growth score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-0.2%
90-day change+3.2%
Forward EPS estimate$2.55

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect ORA to earn is drifting higher (+3.2%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
22
Position size
$1,956
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$66.69
25% below $88.92
$ at risk if stopped
$489.06
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

Ormat Technologies, Inc. (ORA): score, valuation & FAQ

Ormat Technologies, Inc. (ORA) is a Utilities - Renewable company that scores 50.6 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A) and D/E (B+), while PEG (D) and FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is ORA a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores ORA 50.6 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (A) and D/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Ormat Technologies, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does ORA score 50.6 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on growth at 75.1 out of 100, with quality the weakest pillar at 34.5 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. ORA earns its highest marks on Rev (A) and D/E (B+), and is held back by PEG (D) and FCF (F). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so ORA is measured against Utilities - Renewable peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is ORA overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for ORA — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in ORA?

Free cash flow is negative (-$265m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Down 39% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Trailing P/E 43x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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