Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

ONC analysis

BeOne Medicines AGBiotechnology. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

ONC
BeOne Medicines AG · Biotechnology
FCF$1.3bC+
Rev+34.3%A
D/E0.40B
P/E66.7xC
PEG1.07B+
69.9Score
$371.98$42.1B
1Y Target$433.02Analyst consensus · 27 analysts
5Y Target$633.98Compound horizon
10Y Target$940.46Long-dated conviction
FCF$1.3bTTM
C+
FCF $1.3b — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+34.3%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +34.3% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E0.40
B
D/E 0.40 — near the Healthcare debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E66.7x
C
P/E 66.7 — expensive vs Healthcare peers (≈90th pctile)
PEG1.07
B+
PEG 1.07 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 69.9
Quality61.0
Growth96.8
Value57.8
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
3% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value19% belowest. fair value ~$460
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~9% a year for the next decade — vs the ~25% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability63% · Agross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC11.5% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
The bull case hinges on BRUKINSA’s expanding BTK inhibitor franchise, which is fueling a 34.3% YoY revenue growth and lifting profit margins to 10.7% while the market still values the business at a lofty PE of 66.7x. Our Bull Rankings model gives ONC a Quality‑Growth score of 69.9, with Growth as the strongest pillar, underscoring the durability of this compounding revenue tailwind. The thesis rests on the assumption that BRUKINSA and the broader oncology pipeline will keep the growth engine humming for years to come.
Moat
ONC’s moat derives from its proprietary BTK inhibition platform behind BRUKINSA, which enjoys a differentiated mechanism of action and limited direct competition in the blood‑cancer space, creating high switching costs for oncologists. The 12.7% ROE reflects pricing power and efficient execution within this niche, reinforcing the sustainable cash‑flow advantage.
Risk
The bear case centers on the premium valuation: a PE of 66.7x is far above sector averages and assumes continued double‑digit growth, yet the Bull Rankings model flags a weak Value pillar (58) and signals diluting shareholders, which could erode earnings per share. A slowdown in BRUKINSA uptake or a missed regulatory milestone would validate the high multiple as over‑optimistic and trigger a price correction.
Horizon
1-3 yr $433.02 (27-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $633.98 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $940.46 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

ONC vs the Top Picks average

PillarONCBook avgDiff
Quality0.610.84-0.23
Growth0.970.87+0.10
Value0.580.76-0.18

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+18.0 over 47 daily scores
From 51.9 (Jun 22) → 69.9 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+6.2%
90-day change+7.6%
Forward EPS estimate$10.28

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect ONC to earn is materially higher (+7.6%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
5
Position size
$1,860
3.7% of portfolio
Stop price
$278.99
25% below $371.98
$ at risk if stopped
$464.98
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

BeOne Medicines AG (ONC): score, valuation & FAQ

BeOne Medicines AG (ONC) is a Biotechnology company that scores 69.9 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A) and PEG (B+). On valuation, ONC sits about 19% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 9% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is ONC a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores ONC 69.9 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of BeOne Medicines AG's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does ONC score 69.9 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). ONC earns its highest marks on Rev (A) and PEG (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is ONC overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $371.98, ONC sits about 19% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 9% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 66.7x P/E (graded C). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in ONC?

The bear case centers on the premium valuation: a PE of 66.7x is far above sector averages and assumes continued double‑digit growth, yet the Bull Rankings model flags a weak Value pillar (58) and signals diluting shareholders, which could erode earnings per share. A slowdown in BRUKINSA uptake or a missed regulatory milestone would validate the high multiple as over‑optimistic and trigger a price correction.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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