Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

INVA analysis

Innoviva, Inc.Biotechnology. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

INVA
Innoviva, Inc. · Biotechnology
FCF$189mC
Rev+18.8%B+
D/E0.27B
P/E4.9xA
PEG0.31A
68.6Score
$21.07$1.5B
1Y Target$35.00Analyst consensus · 4 analysts
5Y Target$44.19Compound horizon
10Y Target$56.67Long-dated conviction
FCF$189mTTM
C
FCF $189m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+18.8%TTM YoY
B+
Revenue +18.8% — above sector median, healthy trajectory
D/E0.27
B
D/E 0.27 — near the Healthcare debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E4.9x
A
P/E 4.9 — cheapest decile in Healthcare (≈10th pctile)
PEG0.31
A
PEG 0.31 — exceptional; paying well under fair value for growth

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 68.6
Quality69.0
Growth49.2
Value95.2
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
16% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value59% belowest. fair value ~$51
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~-11% a year for the next decade — vs the ~16% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
ROIC8.6% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Biotechnology · market cap $1.5b. 16% off the 52-week high of $25.15. Revenue growing +19%, comfortably above the S&P median. PEG 0.31 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 4 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $35.00 (implying +66% upside).
Moat
Net margin 81% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 29% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. Pharma moat is patent runway + pipeline depth — a single approved molecule funds the next generation of bets. Late-stage trials carry binary readouts that swing valuation 30%+.
Risk
Trial-readout binary — late-stage clinical trials carry approve/reject outcomes that swing valuation 30%+; the equity is effectively a portfolio of these binary events, not a steady cash-flow business.
Horizon
1-3 yr $35.00 (4-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $44.19 at ~16% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $56.67 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

INVA vs the Top Picks average

PillarINVABook avgDiff
Quality0.690.84-0.15
Growth0.490.84-0.35
Value0.950.78+0.17

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+2.5 over 46 daily scores
From 66.1 (Jun 22) → 68.6 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.0%
90-day change+0.0%
Forward EPS estimate$2.21

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect INVA to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
94
Position size
$1,981
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$15.80
25% below $21.07
$ at risk if stopped
$495.14
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Innoviva, Inc. (INVA): score, valuation & FAQ

Innoviva, Inc. (INVA) is a Biotechnology company that scores 68.6 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A), PEG (A) and Rev (B+). On valuation, INVA sits about 59% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -11% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is INVA a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores INVA 68.6 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by P/E (A), PEG (A) and Rev (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Innoviva, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does INVA score 68.6 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). INVA earns its highest marks on P/E (A), PEG (A) and Rev (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is INVA overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $21.07, INVA sits about 59% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -11% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 4.9x P/E (graded A). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in INVA?

Trial-readout binary — late-stage clinical trials carry approve/reject outcomes that swing valuation 30%+; the equity is effectively a portfolio of these binary events, not a steady cash-flow business.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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