Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

OMAB analysis

Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V.Airports & Air Services. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

OMAB
Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V. · Airports & Air Services
FCF$389mC
Rev+4.3%C+
D/E1.54C
P/E16.8xA-
PEG0.76A-
66.7Score
$108.09$5.2B
1Y Target$124.65Analyst consensus · 8 analysts
5Y Target$157.37Compound horizon
10Y Target$201.82Long-dated conviction
FCF$389mTTM · 06/26
C
FCF $389m — modest; watch for margin expansion · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 06/26).
Rev+4.3%TTM YoY
C+
Revenue +4.3% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E1.54
C
D/E 1.54 — more levered than most Industrials peers (≈90th pctile)
P/E16.8x
A-
P/E 16.8 — cheaper than most Industrials peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG0.76
A-
PEG 0.76 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 66.7
Quality0.90
Growth0.50
Value0.91
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
  • Durable high returns
  • Cyclical growth
  • Foreign reporter (MXN)
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
20% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value25% belowest. fair value ~$144
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~1% a year for the next decade — vs the ~12% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability53% · Agross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC30.1% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Airports & Air Services · market cap $5.2b. 20% off the 52-week high of $134.99. PEG 0.76 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 8 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $124.65 (implying +15% upside).
Moat
Net margin 33% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 47% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 125% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Dividend payout 84% of earnings on a 5.3% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut.
Horizon
1-3 yr $124.65 (8-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $157.37 at ~8% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $201.82 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Trend
+1.6 over 31 daily scores
From 65.1 (Jun 22) → 66.7 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
18
Position size
$1,946
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$81.07
25% below $108.09
$ at risk if stopped
$486.41
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V. (OMAB): score, valuation & FAQ

Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V. (OMAB) is a Airports & Air Services company that scores 66.7 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-) and PEG (A-). On valuation, OMAB sits about 25% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 1% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is OMAB a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores OMAB 66.7 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by P/E (A-) and PEG (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does OMAB score 66.7 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). OMAB earns its highest marks on P/E (A-) and PEG (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is OMAB overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $108.09, OMAB sits about 25% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 1% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 16.8x× P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in OMAB?

Dividend payout 84% of earnings on a 5.3% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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