NRG vs the Top Picks average
| Pillar | NRG | Book avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quality | 46 | 83 | -37 |
| Growth | 74 | 89 | -15 |
| Value | 35 | 76 | -41 |
Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.
One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.
NRG at a glance
Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.
Analyst estimate revisions
| 30-day change | -0.1% |
|---|---|
| 90-day change | -3.3% |
| Forward EPS estimate | $11.19 |
Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect NRG to earn is drifting lower (-3.3%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.
Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →
Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.
NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG): score, valuation & FAQ
NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) is a Utilities - Independent Power Producers company that scores 49.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are PEG (A), while D/E (D) rate weaker. On valuation, NRG sits about 249% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 50% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten.
Is NRG a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores NRG 49.3 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by PEG (A). A score is a quantitative screen of NRG Energy, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does NRG score 49.3 on Bull Rankings?
The score leans on growth at 73.8 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 35.1 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. NRG earns its highest marks on PEG (A), and is held back by D/E (D). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so NRG is measured against Utilities - Independent Power Producers peers, not against the market as a whole.
Is NRG overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $107.97, NRG sits about 249% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 50% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 28.3x P/E (graded C). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in NRG?
D/E 4.83 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Down 43% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Net margin 2.6% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.