COMPARE · Data as of August 21, 2026
NJR vs VST
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. NJR scored 63.2, VST scored 73.8 — VST leads.
Compare another set
NJR
New Jersey Resources Corporation
63.2
$53.52 · $5.4B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
10.6
VST leads
VST
Vistra Corp.
73.8
$136.21 · $45.7B
fundamentals as of
At a glance · who leads each dimension, on the model's own rules
- CheapestNJR14.8x
- Fastest growthVST+18.6%
- Strongest balance sheetNJR1.47
- Highest qualityNJR77 / 100
- Largest discount to fair valueNJR-26%
Side by side · every name on one set of axes
Growth against the P/E multiple. Up and to the right is cheaper and faster — the quality-growth idea in one picture. Points beyond the axis are pinned to the edge and marked off-scale rather than allowed to compress everything else.
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
NJR
stronger →← stronger
VST
77
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
65
48
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
88
68
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
70
VST is stronger on 2 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
NJR
VST
$359mC
FCF
$2.3bB
+7.0%C+
Rev
+18.6%B+
1.47B
D/E
3.73D
14.8xA-
P/E
23.0xC+
2.13C
PEG
0.41A
Winner per row is the stronger grade; where grades tie, the better figure breaks it. A true tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
NJR
VST
26% below
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
17% above
~-7%/yr
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~19%/yr
+46%
1-yr DCF upside
-34%
+35%
5-yr DCF upside
-14%
+20%
10-yr DCF upside
+25%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
NJR
Why this score
- Raising its dividend
VST
No notable signals flagged.
The companies
NJRNew Jersey Resources Corporation
Why now
Utilities - Regulated Gas · market cap $5.4b. 12% off the 52-week high of $60.86. 7 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $60.00 (implying +12% upside).
Moat
Net margin 24% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 14% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. FCF converts 98% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Commodity exposure — earnings power tracks the price of the underlying commodity, not management execution. A 15-20% move in the commodity reprices the equity well before fundamentals catch up.
VSTVistra Corp.
Why now
Utilities - Independent Power Producers · market cap $45.7b. Down 38% from 52-week high of $219.82 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +19%, comfortably above the S&P median. PEG 0.41 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 18 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $219.72 (implying +61% upside).
Moat
ROE 40% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 102% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
D/E 3.73 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Down 38% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.43 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
VST leads NJR by 9.7 points (73.8 to 64.1), its sharpest advantage coming in PEG (grade A). A contrarian could still prefer NJR, which trades about 26% below our DCF fair value — a margin of safety the score doesn't reward. All screen as value-type names but sit in different sectors (Utilities - Regulated Gas versus Utilities - Independent Power Producers), so their grades are relative to different peer sets.
Our AI analyst is busy right now, so this verdict is drawn directly from the pillars, grades and DCF above.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Where NJR and VST diverge
On the headline score the gap is 10.6 points in favor of VST. They get there differently, though — each leads on a different pillar, so the better pick depends on which you weight.
- GrowthNJR 48.4 · VST 88.3VST +39.9
- QualityNJR 76.6 · VST 64.8NJR +11.8
- ValueNJR 68.0 · VST 70.2level
Pillars run 0–100 against sector peers, so a score is a statement about a company relative to its own industry rather than to the other name here. A wide Value gap usually means the market already prices the difference in quality or growth — which is the trade-off this comparison comes down to.