Landstar System, Inc. — Integrated Freight & Logistics. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.
★
LSTR
Landstar System, Inc. · Integrated Freight & Logistics
FCF$234mC
Rev-0.8%D+
D/E0.16A-
P/E57.4xC
PEG1.54C+
37.8Score
$207.81$7.1B
1Y Target$191.67Analyst consensus · 15 analysts
5Y Target$280.62Compound horizon
10Y Target$416.28Long-dated conviction
FCF$234mTTMC
FCF $234m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev-0.8%TTM YoYD+
Revenue -0.8% — shrinking; needs a catalyst to reverse
D/E0.16A-
D/E 0.16 — less debt than most Industrials peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E57.4xC
P/E 57.4 — expensive vs Industrials peers (≈90th pctile)
PEG1.54C+
PEG 1.54 — modest premium; above fair value
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 37.8
Quality0.74
Growth0.21
Value0.34
Why this score
Buying back stock
Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
9% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value16% aboveest. fair value ~$179
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~18% a year for the next decade — vs the ~25% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
ROIC16.4% · A-return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Integrated Freight & Logistics · market cap $7.1b. 9% off the 52-week high of $228.46. 15 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $191.67 (implying -8% upside).
Moat
ROE 16% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. FCF converts 187% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Trailing P/E 57.4x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Net margin 2.6% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Horizon
1-3 yr $191.67 (15-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $280.62 at ~6% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $416.28 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Score history · LSTR
Trend
-11.5 over 20 daily scores
From 49.3 (Jun 22) → 37.8 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · LSTR
$
%
%
Shares to buy
9
Position size
$1,870
3.7% of portfolio
Stop price
$155.86
25% below $207.81
$ at risk if stopped
$467.57
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Landstar System, Inc. (LSTR): score, valuation & FAQ
Landstar System, Inc. (LSTR) is a Integrated Freight & Logistics company that scores 37.8 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a weak reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A-), while Rev (D+) rate weaker. On valuation, LSTR sits about 16% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 18% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.
Is LSTR a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores LSTR 37.8 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a weak reading. That is driven by D/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Landstar System, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does LSTR score 37.8 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). LSTR earns its highest marks on D/E (A-), and is held back by Rev (D+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is LSTR overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $207.81, LSTR sits about 16% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 18% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 57.4x× P/E (graded C). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in LSTR?
Trailing P/E 57.4x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Net margin 2.6% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.