COMPARE · Reviewed July 2, 2026
LOPE vs OLLI
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. LOPE scored 74.6, OLLI scored 75.1 — OLLI ahead by 0.5.
LOPE
Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
74.6
$152.65
Score gap
0.5
OLLI leads
OLLI
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
75.1
$74.21
The companies
LOPEGrand Canyon Education, Inc.
Why now
Education & Training Services · market cap $4.0b. Down 32% from 52-week high of $223.04 — deep drawdown territory. PEG 0.94 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 3 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $209.33 (implying +37% upside).
Moat
Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong.
Risk
Down 32% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Net margin 0.4% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. ROE 1% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
OLLIOllie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
Why now
Discount Stores · market cap $4.5b. Down 48% from 52-week high of $141.74 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +17%, comfortably above the S&P median. 15 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $120.20 (implying +62% upside).
Moat
ROE 13% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere.
Risk
Down 48% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Base grades (each contributes ~14.3% of base composite)
| LOPE | Component | OLLI |
|---|---|---|
| C65 | FCF | C65 |
| B80 | Rev | B+85 |
| A-90 | D/E | A-90 |
| B80 | P/E or P/S | B+85 |
| B+85 | PEG | B+85 |
| Supplemental signals · feed the score, not on the row card | ||
| B+85 | FCF Yield | B80 |
| C65 | ROE | B80 |
| 79.1 | Base composite | 82.2 |
Adjustments (signed deltas applied on top of base)
LOPE
GARP sweet spot (PEG <1, positive FCF)+1
DCF cross-check (avg upside 76%)+1
Total+2
OLLI
analyst consensus bullish (87% buy/strong-buy)+2
insider cluster buying (net +28.5%, 35 txns)+2
Total+4
DCF cross-check (per-share value vs. live price)
| LOPE upside | Horizon | OLLI upside |
|---|---|---|
| +55% | 1Y | -23% |
| +72% | 5Y | -11% |
| +101% | 10Y | +8% |
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.