Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

KNX analysis

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.Trucking. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

KNX
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. · Trucking
FCF$470mC
Rev+0.8%C
D/E0.38B+
P/S1.7xB+
PEG0.62A-
48.7Score
$77.17$12.5B
1Y Target$83.35Analyst consensus · 17 analysts
5Y Target$145.78Compound horizon
10Y Target$369.71Long-dated conviction
FCF$470mTTM
C
FCF $470m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+0.8%TTM YoY
C
Revenue +0.8% — flat, mature phase or headwinds present
D/E0.38
B+
D/E 0.38 — below the Industrials debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/S1.7x
B+
P/S 1.7x — below the Industrials median (≈40th pctile)
PEG0.62
A-
PEG 0.62 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 48.7
Quality0.45
Growth0.37
Value0.68
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
7% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value31% aboveest. fair value ~$59
Quality signals · context only
ROIC1.9% · Creturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Trucking · market cap $12.5b. 7% off the 52-week high of $82.86. PEG 0.62 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 17 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $83.35 (implying +8% upside).
Moat
Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong.
Risk
Net margin 0.5% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. ROE 0% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Horizon
1-3 yr $83.35 (17-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $145.78 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $369.71 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Shares to buy
25
Position size
$1,929
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$57.88
25% below $77.17
$ at risk if stopped
$482.31
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (KNX): score, valuation & FAQ

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (KNX) is a Trucking company that scores 48.7 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are PEG (A-), D/E (B+) and P/S (B+). On valuation, KNX sits about 31% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich).

Is KNX a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores KNX 48.7 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by PEG (A-), D/E (B+) and P/S (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does KNX score 48.7 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). KNX earns its highest marks on PEG (A-), D/E (B+) and P/S (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is KNX overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $77.17, KNX sits about 31% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in KNX?

Net margin 0.5% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. ROE 0% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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