Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. — Trucking. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
KNX
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. · Trucking
FCF$470mC
Rev+1.1%C
D/E0.38B+
P/S1.5xB+
PEG0.51A-
42.2Score
$69.55$11.3B
1Y Target$88.63Analyst consensus · 19 analysts
5Y Target$155.02Compound horizon
10Y Target$277.05Long-dated conviction
FCF$470mTTMC
FCF $470m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+1.1%TTM YoYC
Revenue +1.1% — flat, mature phase or headwinds present
D/E0.38B+
D/E 0.38 — below the Industrials debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/S1.5xB+
P/S 1.5x — below the Industrials median (≈40th pctile)
PEG0.51A-
PEG 0.51 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 42.2
Quality45.3
Growth23.9
Value69.5
Why this score
Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
16% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value18% aboveest. fair value ~$59
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~19% a year for the next decade — vs the ~25% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
ROIC1.9% · Creturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.
Why now
The Bull Rankings model flags KNX's Value pillar as its strongest at 70/100, suggesting the market is underpricing its future potential despite its "growth" classification. A remarkably low PEG ratio of 0.49 indicates significant undervaluation relative to its expected earnings growth, especially considering the company's consistent $470m in free cash flow. The market is likely overlooking the long-term compounding potential of its core freight management services, particularly as the company consistently raises its dividend, signaling confidence in future cash generation beyond the recent 1.1% revenue growth.
Moat
Knight-Swift's comprehensive offering across Truckload, LTL, Logistics, and Intermodal segments creates a diversified freight transportation network, allowing it to serve varied customer needs from irregular route to cross-border services. This integrated approach, leveraging both owned assets and third-party partner carriers for national LTL coverage, builds switching costs for large enterprise clients seeking efficiency and reliability across complex supply chains. The breadth of services makes it challenging for competitors focused on single segments to replicate the full suite of solutions and customer stickiness.
Risk
The Bull Rankings model flags Growth as KNX's weakest pillar at 24/100, a concern underscored by the anemic 1.1% FY YoY revenue growth and razor-thin 0.5% profit margin. The market's current valuation, implying a demanding ~19%/yr free-cash-flow growth for 10 years via our reverse DCF, appears highly optimistic given the company's recent performance and the cyclical nature of the broader freight transportation sector. Should the company fail to significantly accelerate growth in its core Truckload and LTL segments or improve its profitability, a sustained profit margin below 1% would confirm the bear case, indicating a fundamental inability to translate scale into shareholder value.
Horizon
1-3 yr $88.63 (19-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $155.02 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $277.05 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
KNX vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
KNX
Book avg
Diff
Quality
0.45
0.83
-0.38
Growth
0.24
0.87
-0.63
Value
0.70
0.76
-0.07
Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.6). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.
Score history · KNX
Trend
-6.8 over 51 daily scores
From 49.0 (Jun 22) → 42.2 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
KNX at a glance
Every figure here comes from the same audited fundamentals behind the score. Charts drawn from data the score does not use say so on the card.
Analyst estimate revisions
30-day change
+0.0%
90-day change
+20.0%
Forward EPS estimate
$4.00
Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect KNX to earn is materially higher (+20.0%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.
A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →
Position sizing · KNX
$
%
%
Shares to buy
28
Position size
$1,947
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$52.16
25% below $69.55
$ at risk if stopped
$486.85
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (KNX): score, valuation & FAQ
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (KNX) is a Trucking company that scores 42.2 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are PEG (A-), D/E (B+) and P/S (B+). On valuation, KNX sits about 18% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 19% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.
Is KNX a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores KNX 42.2 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by PEG (A-), D/E (B+) and P/S (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does KNX score 42.2 on Bull Rankings?
The score leans on value at 69.5 out of 100, with growth the weakest pillar at 23.9 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. KNX earns its highest marks on PEG (A-), D/E (B+) and P/S (B+). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so KNX is measured against Trucking peers, not against the market as a whole.
Is KNX overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $69.55, KNX sits about 18% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 19% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in KNX?
The Bull Rankings model flags Growth as KNX's weakest pillar at 24/100, a concern underscored by the anemic 1.1% FY YoY revenue growth and razor-thin 0.5% profit margin. The market's current valuation, implying a demanding ~19%/yr free-cash-flow growth for 10 years via our reverse DCF, appears highly optimistic given the company's recent performance and the cyclical nature of the broader freight transportation sector. Should the company fail to significantly accelerate growth in its core Truckload and LTL segments or improve its profitability, a sustained profit margin below 1% would confirm the bear case, indicating a fundamental inability to translate scale into shareholder value.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.