Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

INSM analysis

Insmed IncorporatedBiotechnology. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

INSM
Insmed Incorporated · Biotechnology
FCF-$808mF
Rev+185.8%A
D/E0.98C
P/S24.1xD
PEG1.09B+
38.6Score
$125.77$27.5B
1Y Target$200.05Analyst consensus · 22 analysts
5Y Target$349.88Compound horizon
10Y Target$625.30Long-dated conviction
FCF-$808mTTM
F
FCF is negative (-$808m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names
Rev+185.8%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +185.8% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E0.98
C
D/E 0.98 — more levered than most Healthcare peers (≈90th pctile)
P/S24.1x
D
P/S 24.1x — most expensive decile in Healthcare (≈95th pctile)
PEG1.09
B+
PEG 1.09 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 38.6
Quality10.6
Growth97.8
Value55.5
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
41% off the 12-month high
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability45% · A-gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC-50.7% · Freturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Biotechnology · market cap $27.5b. Down 41% from 52-week high of $212.75 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +186% — in hypergrowth territory. 22 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $200.05 (implying +59% upside).
Moat
Pharma moat is patent runway + pipeline depth — a single approved molecule funds the next generation of bets. Late-stage trials carry binary readouts that swing valuation 30%+.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$808m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Currently unprofitable (margin -76.9%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 41% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $200.05 (22-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $349.88 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $625.30 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

INSM vs the Top Picks average

PillarINSMBook avgDiff
Quality0.110.84-0.73
Growth0.980.84+0.14
Value0.550.78-0.23

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+5.9 over 46 daily scores
From 32.7 (Jun 22) → 38.6 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-15.5%
90-day change-15.5%
Forward EPS estimate$0.72

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect INSM to earn is materially lower (-15.5%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
15
Position size
$1,887
3.8% of portfolio
Stop price
$94.33
25% below $125.77
$ at risk if stopped
$471.64
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Insmed Incorporated (INSM): score, valuation & FAQ

Insmed Incorporated (INSM) is a Biotechnology company that scores 38.6 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A) and PEG (B+), while P/S (D) and FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is INSM a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores INSM 38.6 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Insmed Incorporated's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does INSM score 38.6 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). INSM earns its highest marks on Rev (A) and PEG (B+), and is held back by P/S (D) and FCF (F). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is INSM overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for INSM — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in INSM?

Free cash flow is negative (-$808m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Currently unprofitable (margin -76.9%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 41% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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