Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

HAWK analysis

HawkEye 360, Inc.Aerospace & Defense. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

HAWK
HawkEye 360, Inc. · Aerospace & Defense
FCF
Rev+162.6%A
D/E0.17A-
P/S12.7xD
PEG
62.2Score
$18.69$1.8B
1Y Target$37.14Analyst consensus · 7 analysts
5Y Target$64.96Compound horizon
10Y Target$164.75Long-dated conviction
FCF
FCF not applicable for this sector (bank / insurer / REIT) or data unavailable
Rev+162.6%FY YoY
A
Revenue +162.6% — hypergrowth, top decile · Computed from last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E0.17
A-
D/E 0.17 — less debt than most Industrials peers (≈25th pctile)
P/S12.7x
D
P/S 12.7x — most expensive decile in Industrials (≈95th pctile)
PEG
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 62.2
Quality0.60
Growth1.00
Value0.40
Why this score
  • Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
48% off the 12-month high
Why now
Aerospace & Defense · market cap $1.8b. Down 48% from 52-week high of $35.73 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +163% — in hypergrowth territory. 7 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $37.14 (implying +99% upside).
Moat
Turnaround / out-of-favor name — GAAP-unprofitable for now, so the durability case is forward-looking: it rests on a recovery (margin normalization, a cyclical upturn or restructuring) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than on current reported results.
Risk
Currently unprofitable (margin -3.3%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 48% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. P/S 12.7x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard.
Horizon
1-3 yr $37.14 (7-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $64.96 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $164.75 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Trend
+15.1 over 22 daily scores
From 47.1 (Jun 22) → 62.2 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
107
Position size
$2,000
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$14.02
25% below $18.69
$ at risk if stopped
$499.96
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

HawkEye 360, Inc. (HAWK): score, valuation & FAQ

HawkEye 360, Inc. (HAWK) is a Aerospace & Defense company that scores 62.2 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A) and D/E (A-), while P/S (D) rate weaker.

Is HAWK a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores HAWK 62.2 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (A) and D/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of HawkEye 360, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does HAWK score 62.2 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). HAWK earns its highest marks on Rev (A) and D/E (A-), and is held back by P/S (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is HAWK overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for HAWK — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in HAWK?

Currently unprofitable (margin -3.3%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 48% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. P/S 12.7x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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