Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

GSL analysis

Global Ship Lease, Inc.Marine Shipping. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

GSL
Global Ship Lease, Inc. · Marine Shipping
FCF$521mC+
Rev+7.8%B
D/E0.35A-
P/E4.0xA
PEG0.87B+
68.5Score
$41.92$1.5B
1Y Target$48.00Analyst consensus · 3 analysts
5Y Target$60.60Compound horizon
10Y Target$77.72Long-dated conviction
FCF$521mTTM
C+
FCF $521m — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+7.8%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +7.8% — at or above S&P median
D/E0.35
A-
D/E 0.35 — less debt than most Industrials peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E4.0x
A
P/E 4.0 — cheapest decile in Industrials (≈10th pctile)
PEG0.87
B+
PEG 0.87 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 68.5
Quality0.88
Growth0.50
Value0.73
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
  • Durable high returns
  • Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
2% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value79% belowest. fair value ~$195
What the price assumes: outright free-cash-flow decline for the next decade — vs the ~-5% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
ROIC13.8% · B+return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Marine Shipping · market cap $1.5b. Trading near 52-week high of $42.70 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. PEG 0.87 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 3 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $48.00 (implying +15% upside).
Moat
Net margin 54% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 23% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. FCF converts 125% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Trading within 2% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction.
Horizon
1-3 yr $48.00 (3-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $60.60 at ~8% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $77.72 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Trend
+0.1 over 6 daily scores
From 68.4 (Jun 22) → 68.5 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
47
Position size
$1,970
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$31.44
25% below $41.92
$ at risk if stopped
$492.56
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Global Ship Lease, Inc. (GSL): score, valuation & FAQ

Global Ship Lease, Inc. (GSL) is a Marine Shipping company that scores 68.5 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A), D/E (A-) and PEG (B+). On valuation, GSL sits about 79% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies outright free-cash-flow decline over the next decade.

Is GSL a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores GSL 68.5 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by P/E (A), D/E (A-) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Global Ship Lease, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does GSL score 68.5 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). GSL earns its highest marks on P/E (A), D/E (A-) and PEG (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is GSL overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $41.92, GSL sits about 79% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies outright free-cash-flow decline over the next decade. It trades at a 4.0x× P/E (graded A). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in GSL?

Trading within 2% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

More Industrials stocks by score

All Industrials rankings →

Analyze another ticker →