Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

FPS analysis

Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.Electrical Equipment & Parts. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

FPS
Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. · Electrical Equipment & Parts
FCF-$39mF
Rev+315.4%A
D/E1.21C
P/S10.1xD
PEG0.46A
57.7Score
$39.79$12.1B
1Y Target$59.90Analyst consensus · 10 analysts
5Y Target$104.77Compound horizon
10Y Target$265.68Long-dated conviction
FCF-$39mTTM
F
FCF is negative (-$39m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names
Rev+315.4%FY YoY
A
Revenue +315.4% — hypergrowth, top decile · Computed from last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E1.21
C
D/E 1.21 — more levered than most Industrials peers (≈90th pctile)
P/S10.1x
D
P/S 10.1x — most expensive decile in Industrials (≈95th pctile)
PEG0.46
A
PEG 0.46 — exceptional; paying well under fair value for growth

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 57.7
Quality0.27
Growth1.00
Value0.72
Why this score
  • Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
40% off the 12-month high
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability40% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
Why now
Electrical Equipment & Parts · market cap $12.1b. Down 40% from 52-week high of $66.00 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +315% — in hypergrowth territory. PEG 0.46 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 10 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $59.90 (implying +51% upside).
Moat
Turnaround / out-of-favor name — GAAP-unprofitable for now, so the durability case is forward-looking: it rests on a recovery (margin normalization, a cyclical upturn or restructuring) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than on current reported results.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$39m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Down 40% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. P/S 10.1x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard.
Horizon
1-3 yr $59.90 (10-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $104.77 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $265.68 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Trend
+0.7 over 22 daily scores
From 57.0 (Jun 22) → 57.7 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
50
Position size
$1,990
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$29.84
25% below $39.79
$ at risk if stopped
$497.38
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. (FPS): score, valuation & FAQ

Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. (FPS) is a Electrical Equipment & Parts company that scores 57.7 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A) and PEG (A), while P/S (D) and FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is FPS a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores FPS 57.7 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (A) and PEG (A). A score is a quantitative screen of Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does FPS score 57.7 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). FPS earns its highest marks on Rev (A) and PEG (A), and is held back by P/S (D) and FCF (F). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is FPS overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for FPS — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in FPS?

Free cash flow is negative (-$39m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Down 40% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. P/S 10.1x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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